Nutrient-rich submarine groundwater discharge fuels the largest green tide in the world

One of the largest "green tide" (Ulva prolifera) outbreaks in the world has occurred every year from 2007 to present in the Southern Yellow Sea, China. Currently, the coastal area around Jiangsu Province (Subei Shoal region) is thought to be the origination point of these giant green tide blooms. The combination of high nutrient demand but low river discharge and other inputs suggests that there is a significant flux of submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) in this area. By using a radium mass balance model, we estimated the SGD flux in the area to be (0.7-1.4) × 10⁹ m³ d^-1 (6.1-12 cm d^-1), at the high end of SGD fluxes worldwide. Geographically, Subei Shoal is less than 5% of the entire Southern Yellow Sea area, while our calculated SGD flux just for the shoal area is ~3 times larger than previously documented for the whole Southern Yellow Sea. Therefore, Subei Shoal may be considered a SGD hotspot that plays an important role in SGD associated material fluxes. Compared to inputs from local rivers, atmospheric deposition, and anthropogenic activities, SGD-derived nutrients are the main source term that can support the growth of macroalgae. We specifically highlight that this type of areas that are shallow, intensively mixed, anthropogenically polluted, sandy or muddy with heavy bio-irrigation, may have a higher risk of suffering harmful ecological problems, even with limited terrestrial runoff.