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Ecosystem response persists after a prolonged marine heatwave.

Robert M Suryan1, Mayumi L Arimitsu2, Heather A Coletti3

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Marine heatwaves caused abrupt, persistent ecosystem changes in the Gulf of Alaska. Decades of monitoring reveal ongoing impacts, questioning the ecosystem

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Area of Science:

  • Marine Ecology
  • Climate Change Impacts
  • Ecosystem Monitoring

Background:

  • Long-term marine ecosystem monitoring programs in the Gulf of Alaska were established after the Exxon Valdez oil spill.
  • These programs provide a unique, decades-long dataset to assess ecosystem health and recovery.
  • The Gulf of Alaska experienced a significant marine heatwave (PMH) from 2014-2016, with lingering warm conditions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the Gulf of Alaska ecosystem's response to the 2014-2016 northeast Pacific marine heatwave (PMH).
  • To analyze changes across multiple trophic levels and ecosystem domains.
  • To evaluate the persistence of heatwave impacts on marine communities.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 187 time series data, spanning primary production to commercial fisheries.
  • Inclusion of data from nearshore intertidal to offshore oceanic environments.
  • Comparison of ecosystem metrics before, during, and after the marine heatwave event.

Main Results:

  • Abrupt ecosystem-wide changes were observed across all trophic levels following the PMH onset.
  • Many of these ecosystem responses persisted for at least five years post-heatwave.
  • Novel community-level groupings emerged, distinct from the decade preceding the heatwave.

Conclusions:

  • The Gulf of Alaska ecosystem exhibited significant and lasting alterations due to the marine heatwave.
  • Increased frequency of marine heatwaves under climate change poses a threat to ecosystem resilience.
  • The return of the Gulf of Alaska ecosystem to its pre-heatwave state is uncertain.