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Impact of comorbidity burden on mortality in patients with COVID-19 using the Korean health insurance database
Soo Ick Cho1, Susie Yoon2,3, Ho-Jin Lee4,5
1Department of Dermatology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Insights
The burden of comorbidities significantly increases mortality risk in patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index effectively predicts mortality in these patients.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Gerontology
Background:
- The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has highlighted the critical role of pre-existing health conditions in patient outcomes.
- Understanding the impact of comorbidity burden on COVID-19 mortality is essential for risk stratification and resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between comorbidity burden and mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.
- To evaluate the predictive performance of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and its age-adjusted version (ACCI) for COVID-19 related mortality.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of nationwide health insurance claims data from South Korea, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and mortality records of 7590 COVID-19 patients.
- Calculation of odds ratios for mortality associated with various comorbidities, adjusted for age and sex.
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess the predictive value of CCI and ACCI for mortality.
Main Results:
- A total of 227 (3.0%) deaths were recorded among the study cohort.
- After adjusting for age and sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, dementia, chronic pulmonary disease, liver disease, renal disease, and cancer were identified as significant risk factors for mortality.
- The age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (ACCI) demonstrated strong predictive power, with a threshold >3.5 yielding the best cut-off point for mortality prediction (Area Under ROC: 0.92).
Conclusions:
- Multiple comorbidities are significant risk factors contributing to mortality in COVID-19 patients.
- The age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index is a valuable tool for predicting mortality risk in COVID-19 patients, underscoring the importance of age and comorbidities in disease severity.
Abstract:
We aimed to investigate the impact of comorbidity burden on mortality in patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We analyzed the COVID-19 data from the nationwide health insurance claims of South Korea. Data on demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and mortality records of patients with COVID-19 were extracted from the database. The odds ratios of mortality according to comorbidities in these patients with and without adjustment for age and sex were calculated. The predictive value of the original Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the age-adjusted CCI (ACCI) for mortality in these patients were investigated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Among 7590 patients, 227 (3.0%) had died. After age and sex adjustment, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, dementia, chronic pulmonary disease, liver disease, renal disease, and cancer were significant risk factors for mortality. The ROC curve analysis showed that an ACCI threshold > 3.5 yielded the best cut-off point for predicting mortality (area under the ROC 0.92; 95% confidence interval 0.91-0.94). Our study revealed multiple risk factors for mortality in patients with COVID-19. The high predictive power of the ACCI for mortality in our results can support the importance of old age and comorbidities in the severity of COVID-19.
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