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Do Health Programs Contribute to Keeping the Peace? A Scientific Analysis.

Stephen G Waller1

  • 1Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA.

Military Medicine
|March 20, 2021
PubMed
Summary

This study found no statistical link between health programs and peace, nor did health conditions predict conflict. Further research is needed to understand the role of global health in stability operations.

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Area of Science:

  • Global Health
  • Peace and Conflict Studies
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • The scientific analysis of health problems and programs in relation to peacebuilding is lacking.
  • Existing research has not scientifically explored the connection between health initiatives and conflict resolution.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the correlation between the presence of health programs and peace.
  • To determine if specific health conditions can serve as leading indicators of conflict.

Main Methods:

  • A matched case-control analysis was conducted using data from the Global Burden of Disease and NAVCO 2.0 databases.
  • 14 countries with new-onset conflict were compared to 52 similar countries without conflict.
  • The study examined the association between conflict status and the prevalence of 254 health conditions.

Main Results:

  • No significant statistical correlation was found between the presence of health programs and peace.
  • None of the 254 analyzed health conditions showed a change in prevalence that correlated with a nation's conflict status.
  • No common health conditions were identified as predictive leading indicators of conflict.

Conclusions:

  • The role of health programs in peacekeeping and stability operations remains unclear due to the lack of demonstrated association or causal link.
  • Negative findings do not preclude a connection; further research is warranted.
  • The study's implications suggest a need to re-evaluate the impact of global health engagement missions on peace.