Coronary and total thoracic calcium scores predict mortality and provides pathophysiologic insights in COVID-19

Francesco Giannini1, Marco Toselli1, Anna Palmisano2

  • 1GVM Care & Research Maria Cecilia Hospital, Cotignola, Italy.

Insights

Calcium deposits in the coronary arteries and thoracic aorta are significant predictors of in-hospital mortality for patients with COVID-19. Early assessment of this calcification on chest CT scans can help stratify mortality risk.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted global healthcare systems.
  • Early identification of high-risk patients is crucial for effective management.
  • Coronary, thoracic aorta, and aortic valve calcium are known cardiovascular risk predictors but their role in COVID-19 is uninvestigated.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the association between coronary artery calcium, total thoracic calcium, and in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients.
  • To investigate the prognostic value of pre-existing calcification in the context of acute systemic inflammation.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 1093 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to 16 Italian hospitals were analyzed.
  • Chest CT scans performed upon admission were used to assess coronary, aortic valve, and thoracic aorta calcium.
  • Calcium levels were evaluated qualitatively and quantitatively, and combined for total thoracic calcium assessment by a blinded core-lab.

Main Results:

  • Patients who did not survive showed significantly higher levels of coronary artery, aortic valve, and thoracic aorta calcium compared to survivors.
  • Coronary artery calcium (HR 1.308) and total thoracic calcium (HR 1.975) were identified as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.
  • Statistical significance was observed across multiple calcium measurements (p < 0.001 for most).

Conclusions:

  • Assessment of coronary, aortic valve, and thoracic aortic calcium on non-gated CT scans at admission can effectively stratify in-hospital mortality risk for COVID-19 patients.
  • This finding suggests that pre-existing cardiovascular calcification may exacerbate COVID-19 outcomes.
  • Integrating calcium scoring into routine CT assessments could aid in identifying high-risk COVID-19 individuals.
Abstract

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