Assessment of a Spatiotemporal Deep Learning Approach for Soil Moisture Prediction and Filling the Gaps in Between...

Soil moisture (SM) plays a significant role in determining the probability of flooding in a given area. Currently, SM is most commonly modeled using physically-based numerical hydrologic models. Modeling the natural processes that take place in the soil is difficult and requires assumptions. Besides, hydrologic model runtime is highly impacted by the extent and resolution of the study domain. In this study, we propose a data-driven modeling approach using Deep Learning (DL) models. There are different types of DL algorithms that serve different purposes. For example, the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) algorithm is well suited for capturing and learning spatial patterns, while the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm is designed to utilize time-series information and to learn from past observations. A DL algorithm that combines the capabilities of CNN and LSTM called ConvLSTM was recently developed. In this study, we investigate the applicability of the ConvLSTM algorithm in predicting SM in a study area located in south Louisiana in the United States. This study reveals that ConvLSTM significantly outperformed CNN in predicting SM. We tested the performance of ConvLSTM based models by using a combination of different sets of predictors and different LSTM sequence lengths. The study results show that ConvLSTM models can predict SM with a mean areal Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 2.5% and mean areal correlation coefficients of 0.9 for our study area. ConvLSTM models can also provide predictions between discrete SM observations, making them potentially useful for applications such as filling observational gaps between satellite overpasses.