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Spatial-temporal clusters of pediatric perforated appendicitis in California
Kristy Schwartz1, Margaret Nguyen1
1Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children's Hospital San Diego/University of California San Diego, 3020 Children's Way, MC5075 - Emergency Medicine, San Diego, CA 92123, United States.
Insights
Pediatric perforated appendicitis shows persistent spatial-temporal clusters in California, particularly in rural areas. Poverty is a significant factor linked to higher rates, highlighting the need to address socioeconomic disparities.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Surgery
- Public Health
- Geographic Epidemiology
Background:
- Perforated appendicitis is a recognized child health disparity with known regional variations in the US.
- Spatial-temporal patterns of pediatric perforated appendicitis in California have not been previously described.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze spatial-temporal patterns of pediatric perforated appendicitis in California.
- To identify population characteristics associated with identified clusters of perforated appendicitis.
Main Methods:
- Geocoded risk-adjusted perforated appendicitis rates (per 1000 cases) for patients aged 1-17 from 2005-2015.
- Space-time cube analysis to detect hot spot trends.
- Logistic regression and multivariate analysis to assess rural classification and socioeconomic factors.
Main Results:
- Identified 11 persistent spatial-temporal hot spots of perforated appendicitis across California (2005-2015).
- Rural micropolitan counties had significantly higher odds (14x) of being a hot spot (p<0.05).
- Poverty was a significant predictor of higher median risk-adjusted perforated appendicitis rates (p<0.004).
Conclusions:
- Eleven persistent hot spots of pediatric perforated appendicitis were identified in California over a decade.
- Understanding geographic and socioeconomic factors is crucial for addressing this child health disparity.
Background:
Perforated appendicitis is a well-documented child health disparity. Geographic patterns in perforated appendicitis exist in several United States regions, but such patterns have not been described in California. We aimed to analyze spatial-temporal patterns of pediatric perforated appendicitis and identify population characteristics contributing to these cluster patterns.
Methods:
We geocoded risk-adjusted perforated appendicitis rates per 1000 appendicitis cases in patients 1-17 years from 2005-2015 in California. We performed a space-time cube analysis to identify hot spot trends. We performed logistic regression to estimate rural classification associated with spatial-temporal hot spots and multivariate analysis to assess effects of socioeconomic factors.
Results:
In 2005-2015, 43,888 cases of pediatric perforated appendicitis occurred in California. Median risk-adjusted perforated appendicitis rate was 312 per 1000 appendicitis cases. We identified 11 spatial-temporal hot spots of perforated appendicitis. Rural micropolitan counties had 14 times higher odds of being classified as a hot spot (p<0.05, 95% CI 1-185). Poverty was a significant predictor of high perforated appendicitis median risk-adjusted rate (p<0.004).
Conclusions:
We identified 11 California hot spots of perforated appendicitis that persisted across a ten-year time span. Incorporating geography alongside our understanding of socioeconomic factors is a critical step in addressing this important child health disparity.
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