Reflections of idiographic long-term memory characteristics in resting-state neuroimaging data

Translational applications of cognitive science depend on having predictive models at the individual, or idiographic, level. However, idiographic model parameters, such as working memory capacity, often need to be estimated from specific tasks, making them dependent on task-specific assumptions. Here, we explore the possibility that idiographic parameters reflect an individual's biology and can be identified from task-free neuroimaging measures. To test this hypothesis, we correlated a reliable behavioral trait, the individual rate of forgetting in long-term memory, with a readily available task-free neuroimaging measure, the resting-state EEG spectrum. Using an established, adaptive fact-learning procedure, the rate of forgetting for verbal and visual materials was measured in a sample of 50 undergraduates from whom we also collected eyes-closed resting-state EEG data. Statistical analyses revealed that the individual rates of forgetting were significantly correlated across verbal and visual materials. Importantly, both rates correlated with resting-state power levels in the low (13-15 Hz) and upper (15-17 Hz) portion of the beta frequency bands. These correlations were particularly strong for visuospatial materials, were distributed over multiple fronto-parietal locations, and remained significant even after a correction for multiple comparisons (False Discovery Rate) and after robust correlation methods were applied. These results suggest that computational models could be individually tailored for prediction using idiographic parameter values derived from inexpensive, task-free imaging recordings.