Baseline clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in hospitalized COVID-19 patients aged ≤ 65 years: A retrospective observational study
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Published on: July 24, 2013
Marta Betti1, Marinella Bertolotti1, Daniela Ferrante2
1Infrastruttura Ricerca Formazione Innovazione, Dipartimento Attività Integrate Ricerca Innovazione, Azienda Ospedaliera "SS Antonio e Biagio e Cesare Arrigo", Alessandria, Italy.
Insights
Older age, low platelet count, and high C-reactive protein (CRP) are key risk factors for severe COVID-19 in patients under 65. These prognostic factors can aid in managing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- COVID-19 exhibits varied susceptibility and clinical outcomes.
- Prognostic factors for severe disease in younger patients (≤65 years) remain underexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify prognostic factors associated with moderate to severe COVID-19 in hospitalized patients aged ≤65 years.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational study of 171 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (March-April 2020).
- Data collected included demographics, symptoms, comorbidities, lab results, and imaging.
- Multivariable logistic regression analyzed factors linked to disease severity.
Main Results:
- Age (50-65 vs 18-49), lower platelet count, and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) were significant risk factors for severe/critical COVID-19.
- The logistic model demonstrated good predictive capacity (C-index = 0.76).
Conclusions:
- Patients aged ≥50 with low platelets and high CRP face increased risk of severe COVID-19.
- These findings support enhanced clinical monitoring and management strategies for at-risk individuals.
Background:
Individual differences in susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection, symptomatology and clinical manifestation of COVID-19 have thus far been observed but little is known about the prognostic factors of young patients.
Methods:
A retrospective observational study was conducted on 171 patients aged ≤ 65 years hospitalized in Alessandria's Hospital from 1st March to 30th April 2020 with laboratory confirmed COVID-19. Epidemiological data, symptoms at onset, clinical manifestations, Charlson Comorbidity Index, laboratory parameters, radiological findings and complications were considered. Patients were divided into two groups on the basis of COVID-19 severity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to establish factors associated with the development of a moderate or severe disease.
Findings:
A total of 171 patients (89 with mild/moderate disease, 82 with severe/critical disease), of which 61% males and a mean age (± SD) of 53.6 (± 9.7) were included. The multivariable logistic model identified age (50-65 vs 18-49; OR = 3.23 CI95% 1.42-7.37), platelet count (per 100 units of increase OR = 0.61 CI95% 0.42-0.89), c-reactive protein (CPR) (per unit of increase OR = 1.12 CI95% 1.06-1.20) as risk factors for severe or critical disease. The multivariable logistic model showed a good discriminating capacity with a C-index value of 0.76.
Interpretation:
Patients aged ≥ 50 years with low platelet count and high CRP are more likely to develop severe or critical illness. These findings might contribute to improved clinical management.
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