Use of ADAM-C and CHA2DS2-VASc scores to predict complex aortic atheroma after brain ischemia: A prospective
Florence Nicot1, Clément Charbonnel1, Christophe Jego2
1Department of Cardiology, Versailles Hospital, Le Chesnay, France.
Insights
The CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores can predict complex aortic atheroma (CAA) after brain ischemia (BI). Both scores, particularly with values below 2 and 3 respectively, show a high negative predictive value for detecting CAA.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Neurology
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Complex aortic atheroma (CAA) is a significant cause of acute brain ischemia (BI), including stroke and TIA.
- CAA is linked to recurrent cerebrovascular events.
- Existing risk scores like CHA2DS2-VASc have shown utility beyond atrial fibrillation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive capability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for CAA in patients with BI.
- To assess the efficacy of the ADAM-C score in predicting CAA after BI.
- To compare the performance of CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores in identifying CAA.
Main Methods:
- A prospective, multicenter, observational study involving 1479 adult patients hospitalized for BI.
- CAA was defined by the presence of thrombus, ulcerated plaque, or plaque thickening ≥ 4 mm.
- Statistical analysis was performed to compare risk scores between patients with and without CAA.
Main Results:
- CAA was diagnosed in 14.6% of patients.
- Both CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores were significantly higher in patients with CAA (P < .0001).
- The scores demonstrated good predictive ability for CAA (AUCs 0.699 and 0.759, respectively), with high negative predictive values (96%).
Conclusions:
- CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores are effective predictors of CAA following BI.
- A CHA2DS2-VASc score < 2 and an ADAM-C score < 3 both offer a high negative predictive value (96%) for ruling out CAA.
- These scores can aid in the risk stratification of patients with BI.
Background And Aims:
Complex aortic atheroma (CAA) is a common cause of acute brain ischemia (BI), including ischemic stroke (IS) and transient ischemic attack (TIA), and is associated with recurrence. The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a useful tool for predicting stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), and can also predict cardiovascular events in other populations, including non-AF populations. The ADAM-C score is a new risk score for predicting the diagnostic yield of transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) after BI. We aimed to evaluate the ability of CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores to predict CAA after BI.
Methods:
This prospective, multicenter, observational study included 1479 patients aged over 18 years who were hospitalized for BI. CAA was defined as the presence of one or more of the following criteria: thrombus, ulcerated plaque, or plaque thickening ≥ 4 mm.
Results:
CAA was diagnosed in 216 patients (14.6%). CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores were significantly higher in the CAA group versus the non-CAA group (P < .0001 for both). The CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores appear to be good predictors of CAA (AUC 0.699 [0.635, 0.761] and 0.759 [0.702, 0.814], respectively). The sensitivity, specificity, predictive positive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the scores for detecting CAA were 94%, 22%, 17%, and 96%, respectively, for a CHA2DS2-VASc score < 2, and 90%, 46%, 22%, and 96%, respectively, for an ADAM-C score < 3 CONCLUSIONS: CHA2DS2-VASc and ADAM-C scores are able to predict CAA after BI. CHA2DS2-VASc < 2 and ADAM-C < 3 both have an interesting NPV of 96%.
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