Cytokine IP-10 and GM-CSF are prognostic biomarkers for severity in secondary dengue infection

Dengue virus (DENV) infection is mostly prevalent in tropical and sub-tropical regions of the world. Though most DENV infections are self-limiting febrile like-illness, a small proportion of secondary infection is fatal, if untreated symptomatically. Among various factors involved in severe dengue, immune enhancement by cytokine is the major one. The objective of the study is to elucidate serum cytokine expression among primary and secondary infection and determine if any signature cytokine is correlated with disease severity. Seventy-six serum samples at acute time points were collected during the 2017 DENV outbreak in Madurai, Tamil Nadu. Among the 76 serum samples, 49 belong to primary and 27 to secondary DENV infection. Interestingly, a large number of primary infection presented with DHF/DSS symptoms and, children were found prone to DHF and DSS in secondary infection. The serum samples were analysed for inflammatory cytokines, namely IL-1β, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12, IL-17A, IFN-γ, TNF-α, IP-10 and GM-CSF using ELISA assay as well as mRNA analysis using qPCR. Among the 12 inflammatory cytokines analysed IP-10 and GMCSF mRNA and protein shows significant upregulation in secondary infection. Similarly, a strong correlation was observed between GM-CSF and IP-10 with thrombocytopenia, ascites, serous effusion and spontaneous bleeding. Based on the observations, GM-CSF and IP-10 could be a potential prognostic biomarkers for secondary DENV infection.