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The association between the use of ivermectin and mortality in patients with COVID-19: a meta-analysis
Chia Siang Kow1, Hamid A Merchant2, Zia Ul Mustafa3
1School of Postgraduate Studies, International Medical University, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. chiasiang_93@hotmail.com.
Objective:
The effect of ivermectin on mortality in patients with novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been investigated in many studies. We aimed to perform a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials to investigate the overall effect of ivermectin on the risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19.
Methods:
We systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Google Scholar, and preprint repository databases (up to February 28, 2021). Random-effects and inverse variance heterogeneity meta-analysis were used to pool the odds ratio of individual trials. The risk of bias was appraised using Version 2 of the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomized trials.
Results:
Six randomized controlled trials were included in this analysis with a total of 658 patients who were randomized to receive ivermectin and 597 patients randomized in the control group who did not receive ivermectin. Of six trials, four had an overall high risk of bias. The estimated effect of ivermectin indicated mortality benefits (pooled odds ratio = 0.21; 95% confidence interval 0.11-0.42, n = 1255), with some evidence against the hypothesis of 'no significant difference' at the current sample size.
Conclusion:
We observed a preliminary beneficial effect on mortality associated with ivermectin use in patients with COVID-19 that warrants further clinical evidence in appropriately designed large-scale randomized controlled trials.
Insights
This meta-analysis suggests ivermectin may reduce mortality in COVID-19 patients. Further large-scale trials are needed to confirm these preliminary findings on ivermectin for coronavirus disease 2019.
Area of Science:
- Medical Research
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Numerous studies have explored ivermectin's impact on COVID-19 mortality.
- A comprehensive meta-analysis is required to synthesize existing randomized controlled trial (RCT) data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct a meta-analysis of RCTs evaluating ivermectin's effect on mortality in COVID-19 patients.
- To determine the overall risk of mortality associated with ivermectin use in this population.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search across major databases (PubMed, Cochrane, Google Scholar) and preprint repositories.
- Meta-analysis using random-effects and inverse variance heterogeneity models.
- Risk of bias assessment using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool (Version 2).
Main Results:
- Six RCTs with 1255 patients (658 ivermectin, 597 control) were included.
- Four of the six trials exhibited a high risk of bias.
- A preliminary pooled odds ratio of 0.21 (95% CI: 0.11-0.42) suggested a mortality benefit for ivermectin.
Conclusions:
- A preliminary beneficial effect of ivermectin on COVID-19 mortality was observed.
- Further high-quality, large-scale RCTs are necessary to validate these findings.
- The current evidence warrants continued investigation into ivermectin's role in managing COVID-19.
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