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A generalised Bayes' factor formula for evidence evaluation under activity level propositions: Variations around a
Franco Taroni1, Paolo Garbolino2, Colin Aitken3
1School of Criminal Justice, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Abstract:
Generalised Bayes' factors and associated Bayesian networks are developed for the transfer of extrinsic evidence at the activity level, developments that extend previous work on activity level evaluation. A strategy for the assessment of extrinsic evidence is developed in stages with progressive increases in complexity. The final development is illustrated with an example involving fibres from clothing. This provides a list of factors involved in the consideration of a transfer case with activity level propositions and their roles in the determination of evidential value.
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