Endometrial thickness is not predictive for live birth after embryo transfer, even without a cutoff

To investigate the predictive value of endometrial thickness (EMT) for live birth when a lower threshold of EMT is not employed for embryo transfer (ET).

Retrospective study SETTING: Academic assisted reproduction center PATIENT(S): All women who underwent fresh or frozen-thawed ET at the Koç University Hospital Assisted Reproduction Unit between October 2016 and August 2019 INTERVENTION(S): After ruling out endometrial pathology, blastocyst transfer was planned regardless of the EMT in the absence of increased serum progesterone level on the trigger day in fresh embryo transfer cycles or before commencing progesterone treatment in artificially prepared frozen-thawed ET cycles.

The primary outcome was live birth. Live birth and miscarriage rates per ET were stratified according to fresh and frozen-thawed ET cycles for each millimeter of endometrial thickness. Receiver operator characteristic curve analyses were performed to evaluate the predictive value of EMT for live birth.

A total of 560 ET cycles, 273 fresh and 287 frozen-thawed, were included in the study. Relevant patient characteristics as well as EMTs were similar between women who achieved a live birth and those who did not after fresh or frozen-thawed ET. There was no linear association between EMT and live birth or miscarriage rates. Area under the curve values for EMT to predict live birth after fresh, frozen-thawed, and all ETs were 0.56, 0.47, and 0.52, respectively.

Our results showed that the EMT was not predictive for live birth in either fresh or frozen-thawed ET cycles. Once intracavitary pathology and inadvertent progesterone exposure were excluded, women with thinner EMTs should not be denied their potential for live birth because it is comparable to that of those with thicker EMT.