Performance of the AUB-HAS2 Cardiovascular Risk Index in vascular surgery patients

Ahmad Msheik1, Chris Kaspar1, Aurelie Mailhac2

  • 1Department of Internal Medicine, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon.

Insights

The modified American University of Beirut (AUB)-HAS2 risk index effectively stratifies patients undergoing vascular surgery. This tool predicts low, intermediate, and high risks for cardiovascular events, aiding preoperative evaluation.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Surgery
  • Surgical Risk Assessment
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • The American University of Beirut (AUB)-HAS2 risk index is a validated tool for preoperative cardiovascular risk assessment.
  • Existing risk indices may not fully capture the complexities of vascular surgery patients.
  • A modified AUB-HAS2 index, excluding vascular surgery as a factor, warrants evaluation in diverse vascular procedures.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the performance of a modified AUB-HAS2 risk index in predicting 30-day adverse cardiovascular outcomes (death, myocardial infarction, stroke) across a wide range of vascular surgery types.
  • To assess the index's ability to stratify risk into low, intermediate, and high categories for vascular surgery patients.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective analysis of 90,476 vascular surgery cases from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.
  • The modified AUB-HAS2 index, comprising history of heart disease, cardiac symptoms, age ≥ 75, anemia, and emergency surgery, was applied.
  • Performance was evaluated across seven vascular surgery groups: carotid endarterectomy (CEA), open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (OAAA), endovascular aortic aneurysm repair, supra-inguinal bypass, infra-inguinal bypass, lower extremity thrombo-endarterectomy, and lower extremity angioplasty.

Main Results:

  • The modified AUB-HAS2 index successfully stratified risk in most patients into low (<3%), intermediate (3-10%), and high (>10%) categories (p < 0.0001).
  • The overall area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.71, indicating good discriminative ability.
  • AUC values ranged from 0.60 for CEA to 0.75 for OAAA, demonstrating consistent performance across different vascular procedures.

Conclusions:

  • The modified AUB-HAS2 index is a simple and effective tool for preoperative risk stratification in patients undergoing a broad spectrum of vascular surgeries.
  • Its ability to categorize patients into distinct risk groups aids in clinical decision-making and resource allocation.
  • The index provides valuable insights into predicting major adverse cardiovascular events within 30 days post-vascular surgery.

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