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A study on fractional COVID-19 disease model by using Hermite wavelets.

Sunil Kumar1,2, Ranbir Kumar1, Shaher Momani2,3

  • 1Department of Mathematics National Institute of Technology Jamshedpur Jharkhand India.

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This study reveals the speed characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak in India using a novel wavelet-based approach. The findings offer insights into the dynamics of the novel coronavirus pandemic.

Keywords:
Caputo derivativeHermite waveletsconvergence analysiscoronavirusmathematical modeloperational matrix

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Modeling
  • Computational Science

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the novel coronavirus, significantly impacted India starting January 2020.
  • By October 2020, India recorded over 7 million cases and 109,000 deaths, with a substantial number of active infections.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the speed characteristics of the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak in India.
  • To analyze the behavior of a fractional-order COVID-19 model using advanced mathematical techniques.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Hermite wavelets basis for solving the COVID-19 model with a time-arbitrary Caputo derivative.
  • Employed an operational matrix with a collocation scheme to convert differential equations into algebraic equations.
  • Applied a corrector scheme to solve the distinct-value arbitrary-order COVID-19 model.

Main Results:

  • Investigated various behaviors of the arbitrary-order COVID-19 system, comparing results with existing methods.
  • Illustrated the dynamics of susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered individuals across different fractional orders.
  • Validated the proposed model through numerical simulations and wavelet-based results.

Conclusions:

  • The Hermite wavelet method effectively models the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak.
  • The study provides valuable insights into the speed and behavior of the pandemic using fractional calculus.
  • The findings contribute to understanding disease transmission dynamics and can inform public health strategies.