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Risk factors and outcomes for acute-on-chronic liver failure in COVID-19: a large multi-center observational cohort
Sanjaya K Satapathy1,2, Nitzan C Roth3, Charlotte Kvasnovsky3
1Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, 500 Hofstra Blvd, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA. ssatapat@northwell.edu.
Insights
COVID-19 patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) face risks, but acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) significantly increases in-hospital mortality, especially in those with cirrhosis. ACLF development, not CLD itself, drives this increased mortality.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) are vulnerable to severe outcomes from COVID-19 infection.
- Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a known complication in CLD patients, potentially exacerbated by infections.
- The interplay between COVID-19, CLD, and ACLF requires further investigation to understand mortality drivers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze outcomes of COVID-19 patients with underlying CLD, including those with and without cirrhosis.
- To investigate the development and impact of ACLF on in-hospital mortality in this cohort.
- To identify risk factors associated with ACLF development and mortality in COVID-19 patients with CLD.
Main Methods:
- A multi-center cohort study identified 192 adult CLD patients among 10,859 COVID-19 patients admitted between March 1, 2020, and April 27, 2020.
- ACLF was diagnosed using the EASL-CLIF Consortium definition.
- Patient follow-up extended to April 30, 2020, or until discharge, transfer, or death.
Main Results:
- Of 84 cirrhosis patients, 38% developed ACLF, commonly presenting with respiratory and renal failure.
- Hispanic/Latino ethnicity was linked to higher mortality in cirrhosis patients, despite a lower risk of ACLF development.
- Hypertension predicted ACLF development. In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in cirrhosis patients who developed ACLF compared to those without ACLF, but not different between CLD and non-CLD cohorts.
Conclusions:
- Development of ACLF is the primary determinant of increased in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients with cirrhosis.
- While CLD itself did not increase mortality compared to controls, ACLF significantly elevated risks.
- Targeting ACLF prevention and management is crucial for improving outcomes in COVID-19 patients with CLD and cirrhosis.
Objective:
Coronavirus disease 2019 [COVID-19] infection in patients with chronic liver disease [CLD] may precipitate acute-on-chronic liver failure [ACLF]. In a large multi-center cohort of COVID-19-infected patients, we aim to analyze (1) the outcomes of patients with underlying CLD [with and without cirrhosis] and (2) the development and impact of ACLF on in-hospital mortality.
Design:
We identified 192 adults with CLD from among 10,859 patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection (admitted to any of 12 hospitals in a New York health care system between March 1, 2020 and April 27, 2020). ACLF was defined using the EASL-CLIF Consortium definition. Patient follow-up was through April 30, 2020, or until the date of discharge, transfer, or death.
Results:
Of the 84 patients with cirrhosis, 32 [38%] developed ACLF, with respiratory failure [39%] and renal failure [26%] being the most common. Hispanic/Latino ethnicity was particularly at higher risk of in-hospital mortality [adjusted HR 4.92, 95% 1.27-19.09, p < 0.02] in cirrhosis despite having lower risk of development of ACLF [HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.08-0.89, p = 0.03]. Hypertension on admission predicted development of ACLF [HR 3.46, 95% CI 1.12-10.75, p = 0.03]. In-hospital mortality was not different between CLD patients with or without cirrhosis [p = 0.24] but was higher in those with cirrhosis who developed ACLF [adjusted HR 9.06, 95% CI 2.63-31.12, p < 0.001] with a trend for increased mortality by grade of ACLF [p = 0.002]. There was no difference in in-hospital mortality between the CLD cohort compared to matched control without CLD (log rank, p = 0.98) and between the cirrhosis cohort compared to matched control without cirrhosis (log rank, p = 0.51).
Conclusion:
Development of ACLF is the main driver of increased in-hospital mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 infection and cirrhosis.
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