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Prognostic Risk Classification for Biochemical Relapse-Free Survival in Oligometastatic Recurrent Prostate Cancer
Gwenaelle Gravis1, Aurélie Autret2, Morgane Guibert-Broudic3
1Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Paoli-Calmettes, Marseille, France.
Background:
Choline positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) is a new imaging technique for the detection of oligometastatic (OM) prostate cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes after initial OM diagnoses; treatment, particularly metastasis-directed therapy (MDT); and determine risk groups.
Patients And Methods:
This multi-center, retrospective study included patients with hormone-sensitive biological relapse after local treatment with curative intent and with fewer than six choline PET/CT metastases. The primary endpoint was biochemical relapse-free survival (bRFS). Risk groups were based on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) ≥ 0.8 ng/mL and metastatic sites at OM cancer diagnosis.
Results:
Between October 2012 and December 2016, 177 patients were included, with a median follow-up of 49.02 months. The median bRFS was 39.74 months. In multivariate analyses, bone metastases and PSA ≥ 0.8 ng/mL were associated with worse bRFS. Four risk groups (I to IV; hazard ratio [HR], 5.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32-26.61) were observed, with median bRFS not reached for group I (PSA < 0.8 ng/mL; node metastasis [M1a]), a 40.00-month bRFS for group II (PSA ≥ 0.8 ng/mL; M1a), 29.97-month bRFS for group III (bone metastasis [M1b], whatever the PSA level); and 22.70-month bRFS for group IV (PSA > 0.8 ng/mL and visceral metastasis [M1c]). MDT plus androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) improved bRFS over MDT alone (48.36 vs. 34.16 months; HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.38-3.26), particularly for group II (HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.09-4.00), and reached a limit of significance for group III (HR, ;3.79 95% CI, 0.88- 16.38).
Conclusion:
Prognostic group classifications were confirmed: PSA < 0.8 ng/mL and M1a showed a better outcome than patients with M1c and PSA ≥ 0.8 ng/mL. These results could facilitate patient selection for prospective clinical trials in OM prostate cancer.
