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Published on: December 9, 2015
The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
Antonio Scala1,2,3
1CNR-ISC, Applico Lab, 00185, Rome, Italy. antonio.scala@cnr.it.
Abstract:
While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By analyzing a classical epidemic model, we explore the impact of lockdown strategies on the evolution of an epidemic. We show that repeated lockdowns have a beneficial effect, reducing the final size of the infection, and that they represent a possible support strategy to vaccination policies.
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