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Published on: February 26, 2013
Pre-existing atrial fibrillation is associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 Patients
Marco Zuin1, Gianluca Rigatelli2, Claudio Bilato3
1Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy.
Insights
Pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) affects 11% of COVID-19 patients and significantly increases their risk of short-term mortality. This systematic review highlights AF as a critical factor in COVID-19 outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia with potential implications for infectious disease outcomes.
- The specific impact of pre-existing AF on COVID-19 prognosis remains incompletely understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and meta-analyze the prevalence of pre-existing AF in COVID-19 patients.
- To assess the association between pre-existing AF and short-term mortality risk in individuals with COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- A systematic search of MEDLINE and Scopus was conducted for studies published up to January 31, 2021.
- Data from 12 studies involving 15,562 COVID-19 patients were analyzed using random effects models.
- Pooled prevalence and mortality risk (odds ratio) were calculated, with heterogeneity assessed using the I² statistic.
Main Results:
- The pooled prevalence of pre-existing AF among COVID-19 patients was 11.0% (95% CI: 7.8-15.2%).
- Pre-existing AF was significantly associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.47-3.36).
- High statistical heterogeneity was observed for both prevalence and mortality risk.
Conclusions:
- Pre-existing atrial fibrillation is a notable comorbidity in approximately 11% of COVID-19 cases.
- The presence of AF independently elevates the risk of short-term mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.
Purpose:
The impacts of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) on COVID-19-associated outcomes are unclear. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the pooled prevalence of pre-existing AF and its short-term mortality risk in COVID-19 patients.
Methods:
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines were followed in abstracting data and assessing validity. We searched MEDLINE and Scopus to locate all the articles published up to January 31, 2021, reporting data on pre-existing AF among COVID-19 survivors and non-survivors. The pooled prevalence of pre-existing AF was calculated using a random effects model and presenting the related 95% confidence interval (CI), while the mortality risk was estimated using the Mantel-Haenszel random effects models with odds ratio (OR) and related 95% CI. Statistical heterogeneity was measured using the Higgins I2 statistic.
Results:
Twelve studies, enrolling 15.562 COVID-19 patients (mean age 71.6 years), met the inclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis. The pooled prevalence of pre-existing AF was 11.0% of cases (95% CI: 7.8-15.2%, p < 0.0001) with high heterogeneity (I2 = 95.2%). Pre-existing AF was associated with higher risk of short-term death (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.47-3.36, p < 0.0001), with high heterogeneity (I2 = 79.1%).
Conclusion:
Pre-existing AF is present in about 11% of COVID-19 cases but results associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality.
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