Keratoconus in Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The aim of this review is to evaluate the prevalence of and factors associated with keratoconus in Africa.

A systematic online literature search was conducted for articles on keratoconus in Africa. Meta-analysis was performed to estimate the prevalence of keratoconus in Africa. The Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation was used to minimize the effects of studies with extremely high or low prevalence estimates on the overall pooled estimates. Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis was used to assess the robustness of the pooled effects and potential outliers. Meta-regression was performed to explore associations between keratoconus, gender and age.

Twelve studies were included in the review; 5 from Egypt, 2 from South Africa, 2 from Kenya, 1 from Sudan, 1 from Ghana and 1 from Nigeria. Two studies were conducted in allergic conjunctivitis patients, 4 in keratoconus patients, 1 in contact lens service seekers, 1 in pre-LASIK patients, 1 in refractive patients and 1 in a student population. Eight studies were included in the meta-analysis. The overall prevalence estimate of keratoconus in Africa was 7.9% (95% CI: 2.5%-16.0%). The prevalence of keratoconus among males and females in Africa was estimated to be 9.3% (95% CI: 2.5%-19.5%) and 5.8% (95% CI: 1.5%-12.7%) respectively. The estimated prevalence of unilateral and bilateral keratoconus was 2.6% (95% CI: 0.4%-6.5%) and 5.8% (95% CI: 1.6%-12.3%), respectively. The estimated prevalence of mild keratoconus was 2.2% (95% CI: 0.7%-4.7%), moderate keratoconus was 3.5% (95% CI: 0.0%-11.8%) and severe keratoconus was 4.0% (95% CI: 0.0%-19.6%). There was no significant association between gender and the prevalence of keratoconus in Africa (p = 0.63), and age and the prevalence of keratoconus in Africa (p = 0.78).

The estimated prevalence of keratoconus reported here is higher than prevalence values reported in other meta-analyses or different geographical locations. This is mainly because studies included in this meta-analysis were either conducted on a cohort at high risk of keratoconus or a population with high possibility of finding keratoconus patients. There is a dearth of well-designed population-based studies on keratoconus in Africa, resulting in a lack of epidemiological information. This highlights the urgent need for research on keratoconus in Africa.