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Burden and prevalence of risk factors for severe COVID-19 in the ageing European population - a SHARE-based analysis
Linda Juel Ahrenfeldt1, Camilla Riis Nielsen1,2, Sören Möller3,4
1Unit of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, J.B. Winsløws Vej 9B, 5000 Odense, Denmark.
Insights
Over 75% of Europeans aged 50+ have risk factors for severe COVID-19, with many having multiple conditions. This highlights the need for targeted public health strategies to protect vulnerable populations from the pandemic.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Gerontology
Background:
- International health authorities identify older adults (65+) and those with comorbidities as high-risk for severe COVID-19.
- Prevalence data for these risk factors are lacking in many European countries.
- Understanding risk factor distribution is crucial for pandemic mitigation strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the distribution of COVID-19 risk factors across Europe.
- To identify the prevalence of underlying medical conditions associated with severe COVID-19.
- To inform public health authorities about vulnerable subpopulations.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 73,274 Europeans aged 50+ from the 2017 Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE).
- Assessed prevalence of risk factors including hypertension, chronic lung disease, cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, and obesity.
- Estimated disease burden using Eurostat population data.
Main Results:
- 75.3% of the study population had at least one risk factor for severe COVID-19.
- 45.9% had at least two risk factors, and 21.2% had at least three risk factors.
- Prevalence of individual conditions ranged from 4.5% (cancer) to 41.4% (hypertension); regional variation in multiple risk factors was observed (18.9% in Northern Europe to 24.6% in Eastern Europe).
Conclusions:
- A significant majority of older Europeans possess risk factors for severe COVID-19.
- Identifying individuals with multiple risk factors is essential for targeted pandemic response.
- This information can guide the development of effective mitigation strategies to protect vulnerable groups.
Aim:
International health authorities suggest that individuals aged 65 years and above and people with underlying comorbidities such as hypertension, chronic lung disease, cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, and obesity are at increased risk of severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, the prevalence of risk factors is unknown in many countries. Therefore, we aimed to describe the distribution of these risk factors across Europe.
Subject And Methods:
Prevalence of risk factors for severe COVID-19 was identified based on interviews from 73,274 Europeans aged 50+ participating in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) in 2017. Burden of disease was estimated using population data from Eurostat.
Results:
A total of 75.3% of the study population (corresponding to approx. 60 million European men and 71 million women) had at least one risk factor for severe COVID-19, 45.9% (approx. 36 million men and 43 million women) had at least two factors, and 21.2% (approx. 17 million men and 20 million women) had at least three risk factors. The prevalence of underlying medical conditions ranged from 4.5% for cancer to 41.4% for hypertension, and the region-specific prevalence of having at least three risk factors ranged from 18.9% in Northern Europe to 24.6% in Eastern Europe.
Conclusions:
Information about the prevalence of risk factors might help authorities to identify the most vulnerable subpopulations with multiple risk factors of severe COVID-19 and thus to decide appropriate strategies to mitigate the pandemic.
Supplementary Information:
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10389-021-01537-7.
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