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Published on: November 10, 2023
Deficiencies in Planning Interventional Trial Registration of COVID-19 in China
Xiaodan Li1, Shengzhao Zhang2,3, Yiling Zhou4
1Department of Gastroenterology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Abstract:
Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected the world since late 2019. The efforts to control the spread of the virus need to be supported by credible evidence. Therefore, we analyzed the rationality of the timeline and geographic distribution of COVID-19 trial registration in mainland China. Methods: We searched the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR, http://www.chictr.org.cn/) and International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP, https://www.who.int/ictrp/en/) using keywords including novel coronavirus, coronavirus pneumonia, 2019-nCoV, COVID-19, and SARS-COV-2 from 1 December 2019 to 27 April 2020 and included interventional randomized and non-randomized trials including patients with confirmed cases of COVID-19 in mainland China. The registered trials were reviewed, and data were independently extracted by two reviewers based on the inclusion criteria. Results: A total of 263 registered interventional trials were included in the study. We defined the sample size index (SI) as the total number of patients needed by the trials divided by the total number of patients diagnosed with COVID-19. A total of 84,341 patients had been diagnosed with COVID-19 in China as of 26 April 2020, and the included trials had a combined sample size of 31,156 patients (SI: 0.37). After control of the COVID-19 epidemic was achieved in China (February 18, 2020), the SI was 1.54, suggesting that the number of patients needed by the trials was greater than the number of newly diagnosed patients. The SIs in 8 out of 26 provinces in mainland China were >1. Conclusions: Our results suggested a clear over registration of COVID-19 trials in China, especially after control of the pandemic was achieved, preventing the generation of high-quality evidence.
Insights
COVID-19 trial registrations in China were analyzed. Over-registration occurred, particularly after the pandemic was controlled, hindering high-quality evidence generation for coronavirus disease 2019.
Area of Science:
- Clinical trial management
- Epidemiology
- Public health research
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic necessitated robust evidence for control strategies.
- Assessing the rationality of clinical trial registration is crucial for reliable data.
- This study focuses on interventional trials for COVID-19 in mainland China.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the timeline and geographic distribution of COVID-19 trial registrations in China.
- To evaluate the rationality of trial registration numbers against diagnosed cases.
- To identify potential issues in clinical trial conduct during the pandemic.
Main Methods:
- Searched Chinese Clinical Trial Registry and ICTRP for COVID-19 interventional trials (Dec 2019–Apr 2020).
- Included randomized and non-randomized trials with confirmed COVID-19 patients in mainland China.
- Calculated Sample Size Index (SI) comparing trial needs to diagnosed cases.
Main Results:
- 263 interventional trials were included, with a combined sample size of 31,156 patients (SI: 0.37).
- Post-epidemic control (Feb 18, 2020), the SI increased to 1.54, indicating trial needs exceeded new cases.
- Eight provinces showed SIs greater than 1, suggesting localized over-registration.
Conclusions:
- A significant over-registration of COVID-19 trials was observed in China.
- This over-registration was particularly pronounced after the pandemic's control phase.
- The findings suggest that trial registration practices may have impeded the generation of high-quality evidence.
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