Haemostatic indexes for predicting intestinal necrosis in children with intussusception

To determine risk factors for intestinal necrosis in intussusception cases among children with failed non-surgical reduction for intussusception.

Totally, 540 hospitalized individuals with unsuccessful air-enema reduction in our hospital between November 2010 and November 2020 were assessed in this retrospective study. The 540 intussusception cases were divided into the intestinal necrosis and non-intestinal necrosis groups. Haemostatic parameters, demographic and clinical features were assessed. Predictors of intestinal necrosis were examined by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses.

Of the 540 patients included, 113 showed intestinal necrosis. This intestinal necrosis group had a longer duration of symptom or length of illness, younger ages, higher platelet counts, fibrinogen amounts and d-dimer levels (all P = 0.000) compared with the non-intestinal necrosis group. Multivariable analysis revealed that duration of symptom (odds ratio (OR) 1.12; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-1.23, P = 0.000), fibrinogen (OR 1.26; 95% CI 1.10-1.31, P = 0.010) and d-dimer (OR 2.07; 95% CI 1.91-2.28, P = 0.000) independently predicted intestinal necrosis in individuals undergoing surgical reduction for intussusception. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that d-dimer amounts had the largest area under the curve for predicting intestinal necrosis.

On admission, long duration of symptom, high fibrinogen and d-dimer levels are critical risk factors for intestinal necrosis development in children with unsuccessful non-surgical reduction. d-Dimer levels have the best predictive value for intestinal necrosis.