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Application of machine learning and genetic optimization algorithms for modeling and optimizing soybean yield using
Mohsen Yoosefzadeh-Najafabadi1, Dan Tulpan2, Milad Eskandari1
1Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
This study used machine learning to predict soybean yield by analyzing yield components. An ensemble bagging method improved prediction accuracy, aiding in developing higher-yielding soybean varieties.
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Area of Science:
- Agricultural Science
- Genetics
- Data Science
Background:
- Improving soybean (Glycine max L.) genetic yield potential is crucial for global food security.
- Soybean yield is a complex trait influenced by multiple yield components.
Purpose of the Study:
- To predict soybean seed yield using machine learning algorithms.
- To identify optimal yield component values for maximizing soybean yield.
- To enhance understanding of genotype-environment interactions for yield improvement.
Main Methods:
- Measured five key soybean yield components across 250 genotypes in four environments.
- Applied Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function (RBF), and Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithms.
- Utilized an ensemble bagging (E-B) method, incorporating RBF as a meta-classifier, and combined with a genetic algorithm (GA).
Main Results:
- The RBF algorithm achieved high accuracy (R2=0.81, MAE=148.61, RMSE=185.31).
- The E-B algorithm further improved prediction accuracy.
- The E-B and GA combination modeled optimum yield component values for ideotype genotypes.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning, particularly ensemble methods, can accurately predict soybean yield.
- Understanding yield component relationships is vital for breeding superior soybean cultivars.
- This approach aids in selecting parental lines and designing crosses for enhanced genetic yield potential.

