Using Real-World Data to Rationalize Clinical Trials Eligibility Criteria Design: A Case Study of Alzheimer's Disease

Qian Li1, Yi Guo1, Zhe He2

  • 1University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.

Insights

Broadening clinical trial eligibility criteria can improve generalizability but raises patient safety concerns. This study developed a method to balance these factors, using donepezil trials as a case study.

Area of Science:

  • Clinical trial methodology
  • Pharmacovigilance
  • Health equity

Background:

  • Low generalizability in clinical trials limits the applicability of findings to diverse patient populations.
  • Regulatory guidance encourages broader eligibility criteria, but investigator concerns regarding patient safety (serious adverse events [SAEs]) persist.
  • A lack of systematic methods hinders the rational design of eligibility criteria.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and assess a method for evaluating the joint impact of adjusting eligibility criteria on clinical trial generalizability and patient safety.
  • To simulate the effects of modifying exclusion criteria and continuous variable limits on SAEs and generalizability scores.
  • To provide a framework for balancing generalizability gains against potential SAE increases in trial design.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from a large research network to predict the number of SAEs.
  • Employed an a priori generalizability assessment algorithm to quantify changes in generalizability.
  • Simulated modifications to eligibility criteria, including dropping exclusion criteria and adjusting upper limits for continuous variables.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated a method to predict SAEs based on eligibility criteria adjustments.
  • Quantified the trade-off between improved generalizability scores and predicted SAEs.
  • The case study on donepezil trials illustrated the practical application of the developed approach.

Conclusions:

  • Broadening clinical trial eligibility criteria requires a careful balance between enhancing generalizability and managing potential increases in patient safety risks (SAEs).
  • The proposed methodology offers a rational approach to designing eligibility criteria that optimizes both generalizability and safety.
  • This framework can aid investigators and regulators in making informed decisions about trial design to improve the representativeness of study populations.

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