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New cancer cases at the time of SARS-Cov2 pandemic and related public health policies: A persistent and concerning
Emmanuelle Kempf1, Guillaume Lamé2, Richard Layese3
1Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris, Department of Medical Oncology, Henri Mondor and Albert Chenevier Teaching Hospital, Créteil, France.
Introduction:
The dissemination of SARS-Cov2 may have delayed the diagnosis of new cancers. This study aimed at assessing the number of new cancers during and after the lockdown.
Methods:
We prospectively collected the clinical data of the 11.4 million patients referred to the Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris Teaching Hospital. We identified new cancer cases between 1st January 2018 and 31st September 2020 and compared indicators for 2018 and 2019 to 2020 with a focus on the French lockdown (17th March to 11th May 2020) across cancer types and patient age classes.
Results:
Between January and September, 28,348, 27,272 and 23,734 new cancer cases were identified in 2018, 2019 and 2020, respectively. The monthly median number of new cases reached 3168 (interquartile range, IQR, 3027; 3282), 3054 (IQR 2945; 3127) and 2723 (IQR 2085; 2,863) in 2018, 2019 and 2020, respectively. From March 1st to May 31st, new cancer decreased by 30% in 2020 compared to the 2018-19 average; then by 9% from 1st June to 31st September. This evolution was consistent across all tumour types: -30% and -9% for colon, -27% and -6% for lung, -29% and -14% for breast, -33% and -12% for prostate cancers, respectively. For patients aged <70 years, the decrease of colorectal and breast new cancers in April between 2018 and 2019 average and 2020 reached 41% and 39%, respectively.
Conclusion:
The SARS-Cov2 pandemic led to a substantial decrease in new cancer cases. Delays in cancer diagnoses may affect clinical outcomes in the coming years.
Insights
The COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant drop in new cancer diagnoses, with a 30% decrease during the French lockdown. This delay in cancer detection may impact future patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic's rapid spread (SARS-CoV-2) disrupted healthcare systems globally.
- Cancer diagnosis and treatment pathways were significantly affected by public health measures, including lockdowns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated lockdown measures on the incidence of new cancer diagnoses.
- To analyze trends in new cancer cases across different tumor types and age groups before, during, and after the initial lockdown period in France.
Main Methods:
- Prospective collection of clinical data from 11.4 million patients at Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris.
- Identification and comparison of new cancer cases diagnosed between January 2018 and September 2020, with a focus on the French lockdown period (March-May 2020).
- Analysis of cancer incidence rates by tumor type and patient age.
Main Results:
- A total of 23,734 new cancer cases were recorded in 2020, a decrease from 28,348 in 2018 and 27,272 in 2019.
- During the lockdown (March-May 2020), new cancer diagnoses fell by 30% compared to the 2018-2019 average.
- This decline was observed across all major cancer types, including colorectal, lung, breast, and prostate cancers, with younger patients (<70 years) showing a notable decrease in colorectal and breast cancer diagnoses in April.
Conclusions:
- The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic resulted in a substantial reduction in the detection of new cancer cases.
- The observed delays in cancer diagnosis due to the pandemic may have long-term implications for patient prognosis and clinical outcomes.
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