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Association between functional status at hospital discharge and long-term survival after
Richard Chocron1, Carol Fahrenbruch2, Lihua Yin2
1Paris University, Paris Research Cardiovascular Center (PARCC), INSERM, F-75015 Paris, France; Emergency Department, AP-HP, Georges Pompidou European Hospital, F-75015 Paris, France.
Insights
The Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) both predict long-term survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. A consolidated mRS score may simplify prognostic assessments.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors often experience brain injury.
- Assessing functional status post-discharge is crucial for resuscitation outcomes.
- Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) are commonly used scales.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive accuracy of CPC and mRS for long-term survival in OHCA survivors.
- To determine which scale better predicts mortality after hospital discharge.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of OHCA survivors (2007-2015).
- Utilized regional quality improvement registry (CPC) and research studies (mRS).
- Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to estimate mortality risk.
Main Results:
- 878 patients were discharged alive; 358 deaths occurred over 9118.5 person-years.
- 1, 5, and 10-year survival rates were 84.4%, 68.5%, and 53.7%, respectively.
- Both CPC and mRS categories showed significant associations with mortality risk (p < 0.01).
Conclusions:
- Both CPC and mRS scales effectively predict long-term survival in OHCA survivors.
- The mRS scale showed overlapping prognoses for mRS 0-1 and 2-3 categories.
- Consolidating mRS scores could simplify the capture of prognostic information.
Background:
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) causes brain injury. Functional status of survivors at hospital discharge is a core resuscitation measure, frequently using the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) or modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Which scale better predicts long-term survival following OHCA is not known.
Methods:
We evaluated long-term survival after hospital discharge in a retrospective cohort of persons resuscitated from OHCA in King County, WA from 2007 to 2015. Patients were independently assessed at discharge using both scales, leveraging the regional quality improvement registry, which records the 5-level CPC, and concurrent research studies involving the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium, which used the 7-level mRS, taken from information in the hospital record. The risk of mortality associated with CPC and mRS categories was estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression.
Results:
Among 878 eligible patients discharged alive, there were 358 deaths during 9118.5 person-years of follow-up. Overall 1, 5 and 10-year survival was 84.4%, 68.5%, and 53.7% and varied according to CPC and mRS (p < 0.01 per Kaplan-Meier). Compared to CPC-1, hazard ratio (HR) increased incrementally for CPC-2 = 1.33 (1.03-1.73), CPC-3 = 1.90 (1.37-2.65), and CPC-4 = 8.25 (5.63-12.10). Compared to mRS = 0, HR for mRS-1 = 1.02 (0.66-1.58), mRS-2 = 1.52 (1.00-2.32), mRS-3 = 1.41 (0.92-2.14), mRS-4 = 2.00 (1.37-2.97), and mRS-5 = 4.90 (3.23-7.44).
Conclusion:
In OHCA survivors, CPC and mRS scales both predicted long-term survival. However mRS 0-1 and 2-3 groups did not have distinct prognoses, suggesting that a consolidated mRS score may simplify capture of relevant prognostic information for survival predictions.
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