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Cutoff Value of Phase Angle by Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis at Admission as a Prognostic Factor in Patients with Acute Heart Failure
Published on: June 10, 2025
First-Phase Ejection Fraction, a Measure of Preclinical Heart Failure, Is Strongly Associated With Increased
Haotian Gu1, Chiara Cirillo2, Adam A Nabeebaccus1,3
1British Heart Foundation Centre, King's College London, United Kingdom (H.G., A.A.N., O.D., K.O., M.M., D.P., M.R., L. Faconti, A. Papachristidis, G.C.-W., A.M.S., P.C.).
Insights
First-phase ejection fraction (EF1), a measure of preclinical heart failure, strongly predicts survival in COVID-19 patients. Impaired EF1 indicates higher mortality risk, suggesting underlying heart conditions worsen COVID-19 outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Heart failure presence is linked to poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients.
- Early systolic ejection fraction (EF1) is a sensitive indicator of preclinical heart failure.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between EF1 and survival in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
- To determine if EF1 is a stronger predictor of survival than other clinical and laboratory markers.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective outcome study involving 380 COVID-19 patients who underwent echocardiography in Wuhan and London.
- Cox proportional hazards regression used to analyze EF1's association with survival.
- Comparison of EF1 in COVID-19 patients versus 266 historical controls with similar comorbidities.
Main Results:
- EF1 was a significant predictor of survival in both Wuhan and London COVID-19 patient groups.
- In the combined cohort, EF1 outperformed age, comorbidities, and biochemical markers in predicting survival.
- A cutoff EF1 of 25% showed a hazard ratio of 4.83 (adjusted) for mortality.
Conclusions:
- Impaired EF1 is strongly associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients.
- EF1 likely reflects pre-existing, preclinical heart failure contributing to COVID-19 severity.
- EF1 serves as a valuable prognostic marker in COVID-19 management.
Abstract:
Presence of heart failure is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The aim of the present study was to examine whether first-phase ejection fraction (EF1), the ejection fraction measured in early systole up to the time of peak aortic velocity, a sensitive measure of preclinical heart failure, is associated with survival in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. A retrospective outcome study was performed in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who underwent echocardiography (n=380) at the West Branch of the Union Hospital, Wuhan, China and in patients admitted to King's Health Partners in South London, United Kingdom. Association of EF1 with survival was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression. EF1 was compared in patients with COVID-19 and in historical controls with similar comorbidities (n=266) who had undergone echocardiography before the COVID-19 pandemic. In patients with COVID-19, EF1 was a strong predictor of survival in each patient group (Wuhan and London). In the combined group, EF1 was a stronger predictor of survival than other clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic characteristics including age, comorbidities, and biochemical markers. A cutoff value of 25% for EF1 gave a hazard ratio of 5.23 ([95% CI, 2.85-9.60]; P<0.001) unadjusted and 4.83 ([95% CI, 2.35-9.95], P<0.001) when adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, hs-cTnI (high-sensitive cardiac troponin), and CRP (C-reactive protein). EF1 was similar in patients with and without COVID-19 (23.2±7.3 versus 22.0±7.6%, P=0.092, adjusted for prevalence of risk factors and comorbidities). Impaired EF1 is strongly associated with mortality in COVID-19 and probably reflects preexisting, preclinical heart failure.
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