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Association between particulate matter pollution and the incidence of mumps in 31 provinces from China
1School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China.
Abstract:
Previous studies have found that particulate matter (PM) pollution is a risk factor for respiratory disease by affecting body's immunity and carrying microorganisms. This study aimed to explore the association between PM and the incidence of mumps in 31 provinces from China. Monthly mumps cases, air pollution concentration, and meteorological factors in each province were obtained between January 2014 to December 2017. We used a generalized additive model (GAM) to investigate the associations of PM2.5 and PM10 with monthly mumps cases. We also tested the statistical significance of the differences between effect estimates in the warm season (April to September) and cold season (October to March) to explore potential effect modification. We found that a 10-μg/m3 increase (lag0) in PM2.5, and PM10 was associated with a 2.34% (95% CI: 1.32 to 3.36) and 1.90% (95% CI: 1.19 to 2.62) increase in the monthly counts of mumps cases, respectively. We also observed significant positive associations of PM2.5 and PM10 with mumps cases at lag0-1. These results were robust in our sensitivity analyses. No significant differences were found between the season-specific effects. Our results indicate that there is a positive relationship between PM and the incidence of mumps, which provides important implications for the prevention and control of mumps.
Insights
Particulate matter (PM) air pollution, including PM2.5 and PM10, is linked to increased mumps cases in China. This research highlights the need for air quality control to prevent mumps outbreaks.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Particulate matter (PM) pollution is a known risk factor for respiratory illnesses.
- PM can affect the immune system and carry infectious agents.
- The relationship between PM pollution and mumps incidence requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the association between particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) and the incidence of mumps.
- To investigate potential seasonal variations in this association.
- To provide data for mumps prevention and control strategies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a generalized additive model (GAM) to analyze monthly mumps cases and air pollution data.
- Data collected from 31 Chinese provinces between January 2014 and December 2017.
- Examined associations at different lag times and tested for seasonal effect modification.
Main Results:
- A 10-μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with a 2.34% and 1.90% rise in monthly mumps cases, respectively (lag0).
- Significant positive associations were observed between PM2.5, PM10, and mumps cases at lag0-1.
- No significant differences were found in the effects between warm and cold seasons.
Conclusions:
- A positive relationship exists between exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 and the incidence of mumps.
- Air pollution may play a role in the transmission or susceptibility to mumps.
- Findings underscore the importance of air quality management for controlling mumps.
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