Association between particulate matter pollution and the incidence of mumps in 31 provinces from China

Mengru Zhang1, Yongjian Zhu2

  • 1School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China.

Insights

Particulate matter (PM) air pollution, including PM2.5 and PM10, is linked to increased mumps cases in China. This research highlights the need for air quality control to prevent mumps outbreaks.

Area of Science:

  • Environmental Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Particulate matter (PM) pollution is a known risk factor for respiratory illnesses.
  • PM can affect the immune system and carry infectious agents.
  • The relationship between PM pollution and mumps incidence requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To explore the association between particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) and the incidence of mumps.
  • To investigate potential seasonal variations in this association.
  • To provide data for mumps prevention and control strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a generalized additive model (GAM) to analyze monthly mumps cases and air pollution data.
  • Data collected from 31 Chinese provinces between January 2014 and December 2017.
  • Examined associations at different lag times and tested for seasonal effect modification.

Main Results:

  • A 10-μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with a 2.34% and 1.90% rise in monthly mumps cases, respectively (lag0).
  • Significant positive associations were observed between PM2.5, PM10, and mumps cases at lag0-1.
  • No significant differences were found in the effects between warm and cold seasons.

Conclusions:

  • A positive relationship exists between exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 and the incidence of mumps.
  • Air pollution may play a role in the transmission or susceptibility to mumps.
  • Findings underscore the importance of air quality management for controlling mumps.

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