Nitrogen cascade in the agriculture-food-environment system of the Yangtze Delta, 1998-2018

The nitrogen (N) cascade in rural areas of Changshu County should be measured and evaluated due to the large increase in anthropogenic disturbances in China's Yangtze Delta. Here, we developed a village-scale N flow model using Changshu County and its towns as a case study. The model included four subsystems and was used to describe the driving forces behind the N cascade from agricultural food production and household consumption to the environment (agriculture-food-environment) system. It was found that from 1998 to 2018 the N input increased from 274.63 to 848.65 kg N ha^-1. The cropland N use efficiency (NUEc) decreased by 10.35%, whereas the livestock feed N use efficiency (NUEa) increased by 51.84%. A relatively lower NUE, with a higher N input, was found in Shajiabang Town, which was attributed to hairy crab farming. Changes in dietary patterns led to the food N cost (FNC) being in the range of 4.59-7.74 kg kg^-1. Over the past two decades, the N losses from the agriculture-food-environment system decreased by 45.40% from 12,436.60 t N yr^-1 (1998). The contribution of the croplands, livestock-breeding, and household consumption to the N losses were 32.44%, 37.78%, and 29.78%, respectively. About 62.83% of the total N losses entered the water environment. Nitrogen emissions from the croplands accounted for 63.21% of the N losses into the atmosphere. Nitrogen oxide (NO_x) emissions accounted for 38.50% of the gas emissions, followed by NH₃ (28.36%) and N₂O (2.81%). The total N losses decreased annually but losses to the water environment increased by 5.10% from 60.16% (1998). The contribution of food production to the total N loss displayed a decreasing trend, while that of food consumption exhibited an increasing trend. Population growth and increased volumes of domestic waste in the Changsu area were the main driving forces for the increased contribution of household food consumption. The significant decline in cropland area and increase in built-up and heavily trafficked areas indicated an overall increase in anthropogenic disturbances, stimulating the N cascade in the Yangtze Delta from 1998 to 2018.