Elevated plasma ICAM1 levels predict 28-day mortality in cirrhotic patients with COVID-19 or bacterial sepsis

Endothelial injury and dysfunction play a detrimental role in the pathogenesis of infections. Endothelium-related molecules have been reported as potential diagnostic and/or prognostic biomarkers of infection. The prognostic value of these biomarkers in patients with cirrhosis and infections remains elusive.

In this study, we investigated the performance of key soluble endothelial injury biomarkers, including intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM1), von Willebrand factor (vWF), vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 1 (VEGFR1), and angiopoietin 1 and 2 (Ang1, 2) as mortality predictors in patients with cirrhosis and severe COVID-19 or bacterial sepsis.

A total of 66 hospitalized patients (admitted to the COVID-19 ward or liver intensive care unit [ICU]) were included. Twenty-two patients had COVID-19 alone, while 20 patients had cirrhosis plus COVID-19. Twenty-four patients had cirrhosis plus bacterial sepsis. Among patients with cirrhosis, the most common aetiology of liver disease was alcohol. ICAM1 was increased (p = 0.003) while VEGFR1 (p <0.0001) and Ang1 (p <0.0001) were reduced in patients with COVID-19 and cirrhosis, compared to patients with COVID-19 alone. Endothelial biomarker levels did not differ significantly between patients with cirrhosis and severe COVID-19 or bacterial sepsis in the ICU. In these patients, ICAM1 levels significantly and independently predicted mortality (hazard ratio 3.24; 95% CI 1.19-8.86) along with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, renal and coagulation failures. The AUC for ICAM1 was 0.74, MELD was 0.60 and combined ICAM1 and MELD was 0.70. ICAM1 also positively correlated with the composite organ failure scores recorded 3-5 days post ICU admission (CLIF-OF and SOFA) in this subgroup of patients.

The study indicates that in patients with cirrhosis, elevated plasma ICAM1 serves as an independent predictor of severe COVID-19- or sepsis-associated 28-day mortality.

Bacterial sepsis and COVID-19 lead to increased mortality in patients with cirrhosis. In this study, we demonstrate that high plasma levels of ICAM1, an endothelial injury biomarker, is one of the important factors predicting mortality in critically ill cirrhotic patients with severe COVID-19 or bacterial sepsis.