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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Natalizumab in Early Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: A 4-Year, Open-Label Study
Jai Perumal1, Roumen Balabanov2, Ray Su3
1Department of Neurology and Neuroscience, Weill Cornell Medical College, Cornell University, 1300 York Avenue, New York, NY, 10065, USA. jaisperumal@gmail.com.
Introduction:
STRIVE was a 4-year, multicenter, observational, open-label, single-arm study of natalizumab treatment in anti-JC virus antibody-negative (JCV-negative) relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients with disease duration ≤ 3 years. The objective of STRIVE was to examine no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) status and predictors of NEDA in natalizumab-treated patients with early RRMS.
Methods:
Proportions of patients with NEDA were evaluated along with baseline predictors of NEDA, annualized relapse rate, 24-week confirmed disability worsening (CDW), magnetic resonance imaging assessments (T2 and gadolinium-enhancing lesions), and serious adverse events.
Results:
In years 1 and 2, 56.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.7-63.4%) and 73.6% (95% CI 66.2-80.2%) of patients (intent-to-treat population [N = 222]), respectively, achieved NEDA. In years 3 and 4, 84.6% (95% CI 78.0-89.9%) and 91.9% (95% CI 86.4-95.8%) of patients, respectively, achieved Clinical NEDA (no relapses or 24-week CDW). Baseline predictors of NEDA in year 4 were Expanded Disability Status Scale score ≤ 2.0 (odds ratio [OR] = 3.85 [95% CI 1.54-9.63]; p = 0.004) and T2 lesion volume > 4 cc (OR = 0.39 [95% CI 0.15-0.98]; p = 0.046), with the latter also predicting Clinical NEDA in year 4 (OR = 0.21 [95% CI 0.05-0.92]; p = 0.038). The cumulative probability of CDW at year 4 was 19.3%. Serious adverse events were reported in 11.3% of patients.
Conclusion:
These results support the long-term safety and effectiveness of natalizumab. Baseline predictors of NEDA help to inform benefit-risk assessments of natalizumab treatment in JCV-negative patients with early RRMS.
Trial Registration:
ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01485003.
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