Risk for second bladder and rectal malignancies from cervical cancer irradiation

The objective of this study was to estimate the risk of developing second malignancies to partially in-field organs from volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) of cervical cancer and to compare the above risks with those from the conventional three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT). Seventeen consecutive patients with uterine cervix carcinoma were selected. VMAT and 3D-CRT plans were generated with 6 and 10 MV photons, respectively. The prescribed tumor dose was 45 Gy given in 25 fractions. Differential dose-volume histogram data from the treatment plans were obtained for the partially in-field organs such as bladder and rectum. These data were used to estimate the patient-specific lifetime attributable risk (LAR) for bladder and rectal cancer induction with a non-linear model based on a mixture of plateau and bell-shaped dose-response relationships. The estimated risks per 10000 people were compared with the baseline risks for unexposed population. The patient-specific rectal cancer risk estimates from VMAT were significantly lower than those from 3D-CRT (P = 0.0144). The LARs for developing bladder malignancies from VMAT were significantly high compared to those from conventional irradiation (P = 0.0003). The mean difference between the patient-specific LARs for radiation-induced bladder and rectal malignancies as derived from 3D-CRT and VMAT plans was 6.6% and 2.0%, respectively. The average LAR for developing bladder and rectal malignant diseases due to VMAT was 9.2 × 10^-4 and 43.7 × 10^-4 , respectively. The corresponding risks following 3D-CRT were 8.6 × 10^-4 and 44.6 × 10^-4 . These average risks showed that pelvic irradiation increases the baseline probability for cancer induction by 12.6-19.1%. The differences in the second cancer risks associated with the VMAT and 3D-CRT for cervical cancer were found to be small. Both treatment techniques resulted in considerable increased probabilities for developing bladder and rectal malignancies relative to those of unirradiated population.