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Big data and predictive modelling for the opioid crisis: existing research and future potential
Chrianna Bharat1, Matthew Hickman2, Sebastiano Barbieri3
1National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Predictive analytics and big data can help reduce opioid overdose risks by identifying trends and enabling targeted interventions for opioid use disorder (OUD). This approach aids in prevention, monitoring, and personalized treatment strategies.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Data Science
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Opioid use disorder (OUD) presents a significant public health challenge, necessitating improved overdose risk estimation and intervention strategies.
- Global trends indicate rising opioid use and overdose deaths, highlighting the urgent need for effective harm reduction approaches.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the potential of predictive analytics and big data for reducing overdose risk in individuals with OUD.
- To summarize global trends in opioid use and overdoses and discuss the application of big data in overdose research.
- To examine the role of predictive modeling, including machine learning, in preventing and monitoring opioid overdoses.
Main Methods:
- Review of global trends in opioid use and overdose data.
- Analysis of big data research methodologies applied to opioid overdose.
- Exploration of predictive modeling techniques, including machine learning, for overdose prevention and monitoring.
Main Results:
- Big data and predictive modeling offer promising avenues for understanding and mitigating opioid overdose risks.
- Machine learning can enhance the monitoring and prevention of opioid-related harms.
- Challenges and risks associated with big data and machine learning in this field require careful consideration.
Conclusions:
- Collaborative efforts across agencies are crucial for advancing research and improving interventions for OUD.
- Predictive modeling can facilitate a stratified medicine approach in public health for OUD, enabling personalized diagnoses, prognoses, and treatment recommendations.
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