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Published on: June 10, 2025
Stay Home! Stay Safe! First Post-Discharge Cardiologic Evaluation of Low-Risk-Low-BNP Heart Failure Patients in
Nadia Aspromonte1,2, Luigi Cappannoli2, Pietro Scicchitano3
1Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy.
Insights
Low brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels in heart failure (HF) patients predict fewer adverse events, suggesting safe outpatient visit delays are possible. This finding supports optimized HF management during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Medicine
- Biomarkers
Background:
- COVID-19 pandemic disrupted routine outpatient care for heart failure (HF) patients.
- Periodic evaluations are crucial for managing HF and preventing adverse events.
- The study investigates the role of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) in predicting outcomes for HF patients with low BNP levels.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the predictive value of low brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels (<250 pg/mL) for adverse events in heart failure (HF) patients.
- To determine implications for the safe deferral of outpatient follow-up visits.
- To identify independent predictors of adverse events in this patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study including 1000 HF patients with discharge BNP <250 pg/mL.
- Six-month follow-up to record a composite endpoint of death and HF readmission.
- Cox regression analysis (univariate and multivariate) to identify predictors of adverse events.
Main Results:
- 10.4% of patients experienced adverse events (HF readmission or all-cause death) within 6 months.
- Independent predictors of adverse events included BNP levels, serum creatinine, and age.
- Patients with BNP >100 pg/mL and creatinine >1.0 mg/dL had significantly higher event rates (19.0%) compared to those with lower values (4.3%).
Conclusions:
- Low pre-discharge BNP levels (<250 pg/mL) are associated with a low incidence of cardiovascular events in HF patients.
- BNP levels, along with creatinine and age, are independent predictors of adverse outcomes.
- Findings suggest that HF patients with low BNP may tolerate delayed outpatient follow-up, optimizing resource allocation.
Background:
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a deep impact on periodic outpatient evaluations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of low brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) values in predicting adverse events in heart failure (HF) patients in order to evaluate implications for safe delay of outpatient visits.
Methods:
This was a retrospective study. One-thousand patients (mean age: 72 ± 10 years, 561 women) with HF and BNP values <250 pg/mL at discharge were included. A 6-month follow-up was performed. The primary endpoint was a combination of deaths and readmissions for HF within 6-month after discharge.
Results:
At 6-month follow-up, 104 events (10.4%) were recorded (65 HF readmissions and 39 all-cause deaths). Univariate Cox analysis identified as significant predictors of outcome were age (p < 0.001, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.044), creatinine (p = 0.001, HR = 1.411), and BNP (p < 0.001, HR = 1.010). Multivariate Cox regression confirmed that BNP (p < 0.001, HR = 1.009), creatinine (p = 0.016, HR = 1.247), and age (p = 0.013, HR = 1.027) were independent predictors of events in HF patients with BNP values <250 pg/mL at discharge. Patients with BNP values >100 pg/mL and creatinine >1.0 mg/dL showed increased events rates (from 4.3% to 19.0%) as compared to those with lower values (p < 0.000, HR = 4.014).
Conclusions:
Low pre-discharge BNP levels were associated with low rates of cardiovascular events in HF patients, independently of the frequency of follow-up.
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