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Machine Learning Methods and Synthetic Data Generation to Predict Large Wildfires.

Fernando-Juan Pérez-Porras1, Paula Triviño-Tarradas1, Carmen Cima-Rodríguez2

  • 1Department of Graphic Engineering and Geomatics, Campus de Rabanales, University of Córdoba, 14071 Córdoba, Spain.

Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|June 2, 2021
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces synthetic data generation to improve machine learning models for predicting large wildfires. Using synthetic data enhances prediction accuracy, aiding wildfire management and initial attack planning.

Keywords:
burned areaimbalanced datalogistic regressionmulti-layer perceptronprediction large wildfire

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Computer Science
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Wildfires are increasing globally, necessitating accurate prediction for effective management.
  • Predicting large wildfire events is crucial for initial attack planning and resource allocation.
  • Machine learning (ML) models offer novel approaches to wildfire analysis but face challenges with imbalanced datasets.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To address the challenge of imbalanced datasets in machine learning for wildfire prediction.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of synthetic data generation methods in improving large wildfire prediction.
  • To enhance the accuracy of wildfire prediction models for better decision support.

Main Methods:

  • Generation of synthetic data using five distinct methods.
  • Evaluation of synthetic data performance with four machine learning models.
  • Analysis of prediction power improvements using generated synthetic data.

Main Results:

  • Synthetic data generation significantly improved the prediction power of machine learning models.
  • The integration of synthetic data offers a viable solution to dataset imbalance issues.
  • Enhanced prediction capabilities were observed across evaluated machine learning methods.

Conclusions:

  • Synthetic data generation is a promising technique for improving large wildfire prediction models.
  • This approach can enhance the reliability of Decision Support Systems (DSS) for wildfire management.
  • The study provides a novel method to improve the accuracy and effectiveness of wildfire forecasting.