Estimated Annual Number of HIV Infections ─ United States, 1981-2019

Insights

New HIV infections in the US peaked in 1984-1985 but have since declined. While male-to-male sexual contact remains the primary driver, HIV disproportionately affects Black and Hispanic populations, highlighting the need for equitable prevention strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • The first reported cases of Pneumocystis pneumonia linked to HIV infection occurred in 1981.
  • As of 2019, an estimated 1.2 million individuals in the U.S. were living with HIV.
  • HIV remains a significant public health concern globally and domestically.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the annual number of new Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infections in the United States from 1981 to 2019.
  • To analyze trends in HIV incidence by demographic groups and transmission routes.
  • To assess the impact of prevention strategies on HIV infection rates.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the National HIV Surveillance System.
  • Estimated annual HIV incidence for persons aged 13 years and older.
  • Analyzed trends in HIV transmission categories and demographic proportions over time.

Main Results:

  • HIV incidence peaked at 130,400 infections in 1984-1985, declining to 34,800 by 2019.
  • Male-to-male sexual contact remained the predominant transmission category (63% in 1981, 66% in 2019).
  • The proportion of HIV infections increased among Black/African American (29% to 41%) and Hispanic/Latino (16% to 29%) persons from 1981 to 2019.

Conclusions:

  • Despite advancements in prevention and treatment, HIV disparities persist.
  • Equitable implementation of existing HIV prevention tools is crucial for reducing new infections and health inequities.
  • Continued efforts in HIV testing, treatment, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and harm reduction programs are essential.

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