IL-18 binding protein can be a prognostic biomarker for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a chronic, fibrosing interstitial pneumonia that presents with various clinical courses and progression ranging from rapid to slow. To identify novel biomarkers that can support the diagnosis and/or prognostic prediction of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, we performed gene expression analysis, and the mRNA of interleukin-18 binding protein was increasingly expressed in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis compared with healthy controls. Therefore, we hypothesized that the interleukin-18 binding protein can serve as a diagnostic and/or prognostic biomarker for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. We investigated the expression of interleukin-18 binding protein in lung tissue, bronchoalveolar lavage fluid, and serum. Additionally, the correlation between interleukin-18 binding protein expression levels and the extent of fibrosis was investigated using mouse models of lung fibrosis induced by subcutaneous bleomycin injections. Serum interleukin-18 binding protein levels were significantly higher in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients (5.06 ng/mL, interquartile range [IQR]: 4.20-6.35) than in healthy volunteers (3.31 ng/mL, IQR: 2.84-3.99) (p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression models revealed that the correlation between serum interleukin-18 binding protein levels and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis was statistically independent after adjustment for age, sex, and smoking status. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models revealed that serum interleukin-18 binding protein levels were predictive of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis disease prognosis independent of other covariate factors (hazard ratio: 1.655, 95% confidence interval: 1.224-2.237, p = 0.001). We also demonstrated a significant positive correlation between lung hydroxyproline expression levels and interleukin-18 binding protein levels in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid from bleomycin-treated mice (Spearman r = 0.509, p = 0.004). These results indicate the utility of interleukin-18 binding protein as a novel prognostic biomarker for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.