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Reframing strategic, managed retreat for transformative climate adaptation.

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Societies must strategically plan managed retreat to navigate climate change adaptation. This approach redefines retreat, considering societal values and potential futures during transformation.

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Area of Science:

  • Adaptation Science
  • Societal Transformation
  • Climate Change Resilience

Background:

  • Human societies face significant transformation due to climate change and other stressors.
  • Societal choices in transformation are guided by prioritized values.
  • Managed retreat offers a framework for exploring diverse future possibilities and articulating values.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a roadmap for strategic, managed retreat.
  • To reconceptualize the meaning of strategic and managed retreat.
  • To integrate research on retreat, transformational adaptation, climate damages, and decision support.

Main Methods:

  • Integration of research from multiple domains: retreat, transformational adaptation, climate damages and losses, and design/decision support.
  • Analysis of the tensions inherent in retreat concerning unacceptable losses and societal maintenance/alteration.
  • Development of a roadmap based on reconceptualizing strategic and managed retreat.

Main Results:

  • A roadmap for strategic, managed retreat has been charted.
  • The study necessitates a fundamental reconceptualization of what constitutes strategic and managed retreat.
  • Consideration of retreat highlights tensions regarding acceptable losses and societal continuity.

Conclusions:

  • Managed retreat is a critical tool for expanding future possibilities and articulating societal values during climate change adaptation.
  • The strategic implementation of managed retreat requires a redefined understanding of its management and strategic components.
  • The insights derived from studying managed retreat have broad implications for adaptation science and societal planning beyond the immediate scope of retreat.