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Changing Drivers of Mortality Among Patients Referred for Cardiac Stress Testing
Alan Rozanski1,2, Heidi Gransar2, Sean W Hayes2
1Division of Cardiology and Department of Medicine, Mount Sinai Morningside Hospital, Mount Sinai Heart, and the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Insights
Coronary artery disease risk factors are shifting, with declining typical angina but increasing diabetes and obesity. This change, alongside increased pharmacological stress testing, has not altered overall mortality rates in patients undergoing cardiac stress tests.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factor profiles and clinical outcomes evolve over time.
- Understanding these temporal shifts is crucial for effective patient management and public health strategies.
- Radionuclide stress testing provides valuable data on cardiac health trends.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze changes in CAD risk factors, clinical presentation, and mortality rates over 22 years.
- To investigate temporal trends in patients undergoing radionuclide stress testing.
- To correlate shifts in risk factors with mortality outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 39,750 diagnostic patients and 10,982 known CAD patients.
- Patients underwent radionuclide stress testing between 1991 and 2012, with at least 5 years of follow-up.
- Assessment of temporal changes in typical angina, myocardial ischemia, diabetes, obesity, hypertension, and pharmacological stress testing use.
Main Results:
- A significant decrease in typical angina and myocardial ischemia was observed.
- Prevalence of diabetes, obesity, and hypertension progressively increased.
- Use of pharmacological stress testing rose substantially, while mortality rates remained stable.
- Adjusted annualized mortality ranged from 1.57% to 1.76% for diagnostic patients and 2.46% to 2.75% for known CAD patients.
Conclusions:
- The primary drivers of mortality in patients undergoing cardiac stress tests are shifting.
- Declining factors like typical angina and ischemia are being replaced by increasing factors such as diabetes and exercise intolerance.
- These evolving risk profiles necessitate updated clinical approaches and preventative measures.
Objective:
To identify temporal shifts in coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factor profiles, clinical parameters, and corresponding mortality rates among patients referred for radionuclide stress testing over 22 years.
Patients And Methods:
We assessed 39,750 patients with suspected CAD ("diagnostic" patients) and 10,982 patients with known CAD who underwent radionuclide stress testing between January 2, 1991, and December 31, 2012, and were followed up for at least 5 years (median, 12.7 years).
Results:
Among both diagnostic patients and those with known CAD, there was a marked temporal decline in typical angina and myocardial ischemia. However, several risk factors for disease progressively increased, including diabetes, obesity, and hypertension. In addition, the need to perform pharmacological testing in lieu of exercise increased markedly between the first and fourth epochs among both diagnostic patients (from 26.5% [1634 of 6176] to 53.0% [5781 of 10,908]; P<.001) and patients with known CAD (from 31.1% [999 of 3213] to 75.5% [1405 of 1860]; P<.001). The net effect of these competing positive and negative risk factor trends was no change in the adjusted annualized rate of mortality over the temporal span in our study, ranging from 1.57% per year in 1991-1995 to 1.76% per year in 2006-2012 among diagnostic patients and from 2.46% per year to 2.75% per year during the same intervals among patients with known CAD.
Conclusion:
Our findings suggest a marked contemporary shift in the drivers of all-cause mortality among patients undergoing cardiac stress tests away from such factors as typical angina and inducible myocardial ischemia, which are declining in prevalence, and toward such factors as diabetes and an inability to perform exercise, which are increasing in prevalence.
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