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Cost-Effectiveness of Pertussis Vaccination Schedule in Israel
Dean Langsam1, Dor Kahana1, Erez Shmueli1
1Department of Industrial Engineering, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv 6997801, Israel.
Insights
Optimizing the pertussis vaccination schedule in Israel by shifting the first booster to age six can decrease hospitalizations. Increased maternal vaccination coverage is cost-effective, while the second booster
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Disease Modeling
Background:
- Pertussis is a highly contagious bacterial illness predominantly impacting infants.
- Optimizing vaccination schedules is crucial for disease control and resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative pertussis vaccination strategies in Israel.
- To determine the optimal timing for booster doses and assess maternal vaccination impact.
Main Methods:
- Development of an age-structured mathematical model for pertussis transmission.
- Calibration of the model using 16 years of Israeli pertussis case data.
- Projection of costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for various intervention scenarios.
Main Results:
- Shifting the first pertussis booster dose from age seven to six is predicted to be optimal, reducing outpatient visits and hospitalizations.
- Increased maternal vaccination coverage demonstrates high cost-effectiveness ($77,000–$97,000 per QALY).
- The second booster dose shows limited cost-effectiveness (0.6 probability at $110,000/QALY).
Conclusions:
- Maternal pertussis vaccination should be prioritized and encouraged.
- The first booster dose recommendation should be moved to age six.
- The necessity of the second booster dose warrants careful consideration.
Abstract:
Pertussis is a highly contagious bacterial disease that primarily affects infants. To optimize the pertussis vaccination schedule in Israel and evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies that add or remove booster doses, we developed an age-structured model for pertussis transmission. Our model was calibrated using 16 years of data from laboratory-confirmed pertussis cases in Israel. Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) projected by the model within 12 years from the implementation of the considered interventions were compared with the current vaccination schedule. We found that by using the same number of vaccines administered today, the targeting of children at the age of six instead of seven would be predicted to be the optimal schedule to decrease both outpatient visits and hospitalizations. We also found that any increase in maternal vaccination coverage is likely to be cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $77,000-$97,000 per QALY. By contrast, the contribution of the second booster dose is limited, with a probability of only 0.6 to be cost-effective at $110,000/QALY saved. Additional effort should be invested to encourage maternal vaccination against pertussis. We recommend moving the first booster to age six and prudently considering the necessity of the second booster dose.
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