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Updated: Oct 30, 2025

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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
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Spatial-Temporal Changes and Associated Determinants of Global Heating Degree Days
Yuanzheng Li1,2, Jinyuan Li1, Ao Xu1
1School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China.
Summary
Global heating degree days (HDDs) are decreasing, especially at higher latitudes, indicating climate warming impacts. Future trends suggest sustainability, with HDDs influenced by factors like latitude, altitude, and pollution.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Climatology
- Energy Consumption Studies
Background:
- Heating degree days (HDDs) effectively indicate climate's impact on winter energy use and thermal conditions.
- Limited research exists on global spatial-temporal HDD changes and their drivers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate global HDD spatial distribution and interannual changes over 49 years.
- To identify critical determinants influencing HDD variations and trends.
Main Methods:
- Utilized multi-source data and various analytical methods.
- Employed machine learning for simulating HDDs and their change rates.
Main Results:
- Global HDDs generally increase with latitude and altitude.
- Most regions show decreasing HDD change rates (p < 0.10), particularly at higher latitudes.
- Significant correlations found between HDDs/change rates and latitude, altitude, albedo, EVI, PM2.5, and nighttime light intensity (p = 0.000).
Conclusions:
- Future global HDDs are projected to show sustainability trends.
- Machine learning accurately simulates HDD dynamics (RMSEs: 564.08 °C*days and 3.59 °C*days*year⁻¹).
- Findings support climate change response, sustainable development, and environmental planning.
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