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Green Investment Changes in China: A Shift-Share Analysis.

Ruxu Sheng1, Rong Zhou1, Ying Zhang2

  • 1School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
|July 2, 2021
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Summary

China

Keywords:
driving factorgreen investmenthomothetic shift-share analysisregional analysis

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Economics
  • Regional Development Studies
  • Green Finance

Background:

  • China's economic development necessitates a green transformation for environmental mitigation.
  • Green investment in China surged over sevenfold between 2002 and 2017.
  • Understanding drivers of green investment is crucial for sustainable development.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the changes and driving factors of provincial green investment in China from 2002 to 2017.
  • To decompose green investment changes into national economic growth, national investment structure, regional competition, and regional allocation effects.

Main Methods:

  • Homothetic Shift-Share Analysis (HSSA) applied to provincial green investment data.
  • Decomposition of green investment changes into four distinct factors.
  • Temporal and regional analysis of the identified driving factors.

Main Results:

  • National economic growth (NEG) and national green investment structure (NIS) effects were more pronounced in eastern China, with regional differences shrinking over time.
  • Homothetic regional green investment competition (HRIC) was stronger in the central region, with many eastern provinces showing negative HRIC.
  • Regional investment allocation (RIA) generally inhibited growth, exhibiting a "high-low-high" trend across the study period.

Conclusions:

  • Coordinated regional green investment growth is essential for China's sustainable development.
  • Establishing an ecological compensation mechanism is recommended to balance regional disparities.
  • Policy interventions should consider the distinct regional and temporal dynamics of green investment drivers.