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On the Uncertainty Identification for Linear Dynamic Systems Using Stochastic Embedding Approach with Gaussian
Rafael Orellana1,2,3, Rodrigo Carvajal1, Pedro Escárate4
1Departamento Electrónica, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María (UTFSM), Av. España 1680, Valparaíso 2390123, Chile.
This study introduces a new method for modeling uncertainty in linear dynamic systems using a stochastic embedding approach. It improves process control and fault diagnosis by accurately estimating system dynamics and error models.
Area of Science:
- Engineering
- Control Systems
- System Identification
Background:
- Manufacturing process control requires understanding model uncertainty for consistency and quality.
- Deterministic models are insufficient for complex systems, necessitating stochastic approaches to represent disturbances and wear.
- Model uncertainties impact fault diagnosis, safety, and reliability in real-world applications.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a maximum likelihood estimation algorithm for uncertainty modeling in linear dynamic systems.
- To incorporate system uncertainties as stochastic error terms within a transfer function framework.
- To enhance process control and fault detection/diagnosis methodologies through accurate dynamic system modeling.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a stochastic embedding approach to represent system uncertainties.
- Modeled the error-model probability density function as a finite Gaussian mixture model.
- Developed an iterative Expectation-Maximization algorithm for estimating the nominal model and error-model parameters from independent experimental data.
Main Results:
- Successfully developed a maximum likelihood estimation algorithm for uncertainty modeling.
- Demonstrated the effectiveness of the stochastic embedding approach in handling system uncertainties.
- Validated the proposed method's benefits through numerical simulations.
Conclusions:
- The proposed method provides a robust way to model uncertainty in linear dynamic systems.
- Accurate uncertainty modeling is crucial for effective process control and fault diagnosis.
- The Expectation-Maximization algorithm offers an efficient approach for parameter and probability density function estimation.
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