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Improving the performance of deep learning models using statistical features: The case study of COVID-19 forecasting
Hossein Abbasimehr1, Reza Paki1, Aram Bahrini2
1Faculty of Information Technology and Computer Engineering Azarbaijan Shahid Madani University Tabriz Iran.
This study introduces hybrid deep learning models for COVID-19 case forecasting, enhancing accuracy by integrating statistical features. These novel methods, ATT_FE and CNN_FE, improve upon traditional models for pandemic prediction.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Data Science
- Computational Biology
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic necessitates accurate forecasting for effective public health interventions.
- Existing deep learning models for COVID-19 prediction can be enhanced with auxiliary data.
- Various statistical, mathematical, machine learning, and deep learning techniques have been applied to COVID-19 forecasting.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose and evaluate two novel hybrid deep learning models for improved COVID-19 case forecasting.
- To investigate the efficacy of incorporating statistical features as auxiliary inputs into deep learning architectures.
- To compare the performance of hybrid models against conventional deep learning methods.
Main Methods:
- Development of two hybrid deep learning models: Attention with Statistical Features (ATT_FE) and Convolutional Neural Network with Statistical Features (CNN_FE).
- Integration of statistical features as auxiliary inputs alongside primary data inputs in the deep learning models.
- Application and evaluation of the proposed models using COVID-19 case data from 10 countries with the highest infection rates.
Main Results:
- The proposed hybrid deep learning models (ATT_FE and CNN_FE) demonstrated superior performance compared to their conventional counterparts.
- Experiments confirmed the effectiveness of integrating statistical features for enhancing COVID-19 forecasting accuracy.
- The hybrid ATT_FE model showed a notable advantage over the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model in predictive performance.
Conclusions:
- Hybrid deep learning approaches incorporating statistical features offer a promising avenue for more accurate COVID-19 forecasting.
- The ATT_FE and CNN_FE models provide enhanced predictive capabilities for pandemic management.
- Further research into hybrid models can significantly contribute to optimizing public health strategies during infectious disease outbreaks.
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