Prognostic Utility of Culprit SYNTAX Score in Patients With Cardiogenic Shock Complicating ST-Segment Elevation
Kyehwan Kim1, Min Gyu Kang1, Hyun Woong Park1
1Department of Internal Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Cardiovascular Center, Gyeongsang National University Jinju Hospital, Republic of Korea.
Insights
The culprit-lesion SYNTAX score (cul-SS) may better predict in-hospital mortality in cardiogenic shock complicating ST-elevation myocardial infarction (CS-STEMI) patients than the overall SYNTAX score (SS). Combining cul-SS with other factors improves prediction accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Interventional Cardiology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Higher SYNTAX score (SS) indicates poor prognosis in cardiogenic shock complicating ST-elevation myocardial infarction (CS-STEMI).
- The predictive value of culprit-lesion SYNTAX score (cul-SS) versus SS in CS-STEMI remains unclear, despite evidence supporting culprit-lesion-only primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive utility of cul-SS and SS for in-hospital mortality in CS-STEMI patients.
- To identify factors that can augment the predictive accuracy of cul-SS.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 215 CS-STEMI patients from 2010-2019.
- Comparison of SS and cul-SS in predicting in-hospital mortality.
- Multivariate analysis and assessment of Area Under the Curve (AUC) for predictive models.
Main Results:
- In-hospital mortality occurred in 37% of patients.
- SS ≥22, cul-SS ≥11, final TIMI flow ≤2, and no-reflow phenomenon were associated with mortality.
- cul-SS ≥11 was an independent predictor (OR 2.6, p=0.010) and showed better predictive value than SS, especially in multi-vessel disease.
- AUC for cul-SS ≥11 (0.617) improved to 0.745 when combined with TIMI flow ≤2, no-reflow, and low CO2 content.
Conclusions:
- The cul-SS may be a more potent predictor of in-hospital mortality in CS-STEMI patients compared to the overall SS.
- Combining cul-SS with other clinical and angiographic factors significantly enhances its predictive capability for mortality.
Abstract:
A higher SYNTAX score (SS) is strongly associated with poor prognosis in patients with cardiogenic shock complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (CS-STEMI). However, the predictive value of culprit-lesion SYNTAX score (cul-SS) and SS has not been compared although the culprit-lesion-only primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) strategy showed improved long-term survival recently. This study compared the predictive utility of cul-SS and SS for in-hospital mortality among the patients with CS-STEMI from during 2010-2019. Of the 215 patients, 79 (37%) died. SS ≥22, cul-SS ≥11, final thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow ≤2, and no-reflow phenomenon were associated with in-hospital mortality. In patients with multi-vessel disease, the nonsurvivors with cul-SS ≥11 had a higher mortality rate than the survivors (75.0% vs. 44.9%, p = 0.001), whereas the SS ≥22 showed no significant difference. The cul-SS ≥11 revealed only an independent factor in the multivariate analysis (OR 2.6, p = 0.010). the AUC of cul-SS ≥11 for in-hospital mortality was modest (0.617 p < 0.05), which might be augmented up to 0.745 (p < 0.001) by the combination with TIMI flow ≤2, no-reflow phenomenon, and blood total CO2 content <15 mEq/L. The cul-SS might be more predictive than SS for in-hospital mortality in our patients with CS-STEMI.
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