Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with increased risk of chronic kidney disease

Whether non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with an increased risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) independent of established cardio-renal risk factors remains controversial. We aimed to provide a quantitative estimate of the association and strength between NAFLD and risk of CKD after adjustment for multiple cardio-renal risk factors.

We searched electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, and Google Scholar) for studies published from database inception until 30 November 2020. Analysis included cohort studies that reported multivariable-adjusted risk ratios [including odds ratios, relative risks (RRs), or hazard ratios] and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CKD of NAFLD compared with individuals without NAFLD.

A total of 11 cohort studies were included comprising 1,198,242 participants (46.3% women) for analysis. The median follow-up duration was 3.7 years, with 31,922 cases of incident CKD. Compared with individuals without NAFLD, unadjusted models showed that NAFLD was associated with a higher risk of CKD (RR 1.54, 95% CI 1.38-1.71). After adjusting for multiple cardio-renal risk factors, the CKD risk was still significantly increased in patients with NAFLD (RR 1.39, 95% CI 1.27-1.52). Compared with individuals without NAFLD, the adjusted absolute risk increase in NAFLD for CKD was 5.1 (95% CI 3.5-6.8) per 1000 person-years.

NAFLD is associated with an increased risk of incident CKD independent of established cardio-renal risk factors.