A Mendelian randomization analysis of the relationship between cardioembolic risk factors and ischemic stroke

Danyang Tian1, Linjing Zhang1, Zhenhuang Zhuang2

  • 1Department of Neurology, Peking University Third Hospital, No. 49, North Garden Rd., Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.

Scientific Reports
|July 17, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a causal risk factor for cardioembolic stroke, significantly increasing stroke odds. Resting heart rate also shows a suggestive causal link to ischemic and cardioembolic stroke subtypes.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Genetics
  • Neurology
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Observational studies suggest links between risk factors and cardioembolic stroke.
  • Causality between these associations and cardioembolic stroke remains uncertain.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the causal association between established and provisional cardioembolic risk factors and cardioembolic stroke.
  • Utilize genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer causality.

Main Methods:

  • Employed Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genetic instruments for atrial fibrillation (AF), myocardial infarction (MI), ECG indices, and NT-pro BNP.
  • Extracted summarized data for ischemic stroke and subtypes from the MEGASTROKE consortium.
  • Applied inverse-variance weighted, weighted median, simple median, and MR-Egger regression analyses.

Main Results:

  • Genetically predicted AF demonstrated a significant causal association with increased odds of ischemic stroke (OR: 1.20) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.95).
  • Genetically determined resting heart rate showed suggestive causal associations with ischemic stroke (OR: 1.01), large-artery atherosclerotic stroke (OR: 1.02), and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.02).
  • No causal associations were found for P-wave terminal force in V1 (PTFVI), P-wave duration (PWD), NT-pro BNP, or PR interval with ischemic stroke or its subtypes.

Conclusions:

  • Atrial fibrillation is a confirmed causal risk factor for cardioembolic stroke.
  • Resting heart rate may also play a causal role in cardioembolic stroke.
  • Certain ECG indices and NT-pro BNP are not causally linked to cardioembolic stroke.

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