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Author Spotlight: Assessing Ischemic Stroke Damage Through Middle Cerebral Artery Occlusion Model
Published on: August 11, 2023
A Mendelian randomization analysis of the relationship between cardioembolic risk factors and ischemic stroke
Danyang Tian1, Linjing Zhang1, Zhenhuang Zhuang2
1Department of Neurology, Peking University Third Hospital, No. 49, North Garden Rd., Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.
Insights
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a causal risk factor for cardioembolic stroke, significantly increasing stroke odds. Resting heart rate also shows a suggestive causal link to ischemic and cardioembolic stroke subtypes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Genetics
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Observational studies suggest links between risk factors and cardioembolic stroke.
- Causality between these associations and cardioembolic stroke remains uncertain.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the causal association between established and provisional cardioembolic risk factors and cardioembolic stroke.
- Utilize genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer causality.
Main Methods:
- Employed Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genetic instruments for atrial fibrillation (AF), myocardial infarction (MI), ECG indices, and NT-pro BNP.
- Extracted summarized data for ischemic stroke and subtypes from the MEGASTROKE consortium.
- Applied inverse-variance weighted, weighted median, simple median, and MR-Egger regression analyses.
Main Results:
- Genetically predicted AF demonstrated a significant causal association with increased odds of ischemic stroke (OR: 1.20) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.95).
- Genetically determined resting heart rate showed suggestive causal associations with ischemic stroke (OR: 1.01), large-artery atherosclerotic stroke (OR: 1.02), and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.02).
- No causal associations were found for P-wave terminal force in V1 (PTFVI), P-wave duration (PWD), NT-pro BNP, or PR interval with ischemic stroke or its subtypes.
Conclusions:
- Atrial fibrillation is a confirmed causal risk factor for cardioembolic stroke.
- Resting heart rate may also play a causal role in cardioembolic stroke.
- Certain ECG indices and NT-pro BNP are not causally linked to cardioembolic stroke.
Abstract:
Observational studies have shown that several risk factors are associated with cardioembolic stroke. However, whether such associations reflect causality remains unknown. We aimed to determine whether established and provisional cardioembolic risk factors are causally associated with cardioembolic stroke. Genetic instruments for atrial fibrillation (AF), myocardial infarction (MI), electrocardiogram (ECG) indices and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) were obtained from large genetic consortiums. Summarized data of ischemic stroke and its subtypes were extracted from the MEGASTROKE consortium. Causal estimates were calculated by applying inverse-variance weighted analysis, weighted median analysis, simple median analysis and Mendelian randomization (MR)-Egger regression. Genetically predicted AF was significantly associated with higher odds of ischemic stroke (odds ratio (OR): 1.20, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.16-1.24, P = 6.53 × 10-30) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.95, 95% CI: 1.85-2.06, P = 8.81 × 10-125). Suggestive associations were found between genetically determined resting heart rate and higher odds of ischemic stroke (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02, P = 0.005), large-artery atherosclerotic stroke (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04, P = 0.026) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04, P = 0.028). There was no causal association of P-wave terminal force in the precordial lead V1 (PTFVI), P-wave duration (PWD), NT-pro BNP or PR interval with ischemic stroke or any subtype.
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