Image-based patient-specific flow simulations are consistent with stroke in pediatric cerebrovascular disease

Moyamoya disease (MMD) is characterized by narrowing of the distal internal carotid artery and the circle of Willis (CoW) and leads to recurring ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. A retrospective review of data from 50 pediatric MMD patients revealed that among the 24 who had a unilateral stroke and were surgically treated, 11 (45.8%) had a subsequent, contralateral stroke. There is no reliable way to predict these events. After a pilot study in Acta^-/- mice that have features of MMD, we hypothesized that local hemodynamics are predictive of contralateral strokes and sought to develop a patient-specific analysis framework to noninvasively assess this stroke risk. A pediatric MMD patient with an occlusion in the right middle cerebral artery and a right-sided stroke, who was surgically treated and then had a contralateral stroke, was selected for analysis. By using an unsteady Navier-Stokes solver within an isogeometric analysis framework, blood flow was simulated in the CoW model reconstructed from the patient's postoperative imaging data, and the results were compared with those from an age- and sex-matched control subject. A wall shear rate (WSR) > 60,000 s^-1 (about 12 × higher than the coagulation threshold of 5000 s^-1 and 9 × higher than control) was measured in the terminal left supraclinoid artery; its location coincided with that of the subsequent postsurgical left-sided stroke. A parametric study of disease progression revealed a strong correlation between the degree of vascular morphology altered by MMD and local hemodynamic environment. The results suggest that an occlusion in the CoW could lead to excessive contralateral WSRs, resulting in thromboembolic ischemic events, and that WSR could be a predictor of future stroke.